Maritimo have to win this game if they want to be playing in the Primeira League next season. They host Estrela in the second leg of this promotion play-off with the vistors 2-1 up from the first match. Estrela finished third in the Portuguese second division and are now bidding to keep their lead and be promoted. The Estrela were only formed in 2020 and are chasing a second successive promotion. That's looking possible after the first leg. They led 2-0 in that game and will be kicking themselves for conceding an 87th minute goal. The Tricolores finished six points behind the second automatic promotion spot after only winning one of their final four games. Away form this season has seen them unbeaten in their last 11 games with four of the last five won.
The home side survived automatic relegation by three points. However, they were eight points from safety so went into this play-off match. The loss in the first leg was their second successive defeat. Their main season ended with a 3-1 loss at Estoril. Only seven games were won by Maritimo in the main season. They ended with 63 goals conceded, the most by any side in the Primeira League this season. Six of their seven league wins came on home soil. Six of the last eight home games have seen both teams score. We go for that stat to come up again in this match.