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Liga Portugal Prediction 2023/24

Benfica lift the league trophy

The Liga Portugal Betclic (formerly referred to as Liga NOS) is the top-flight professional league in Portuguese football which sees 18 teams competing for the championship. Due to its fall from sixth to seventh-place in the UEFA coefficient rankings, only the top four teams at the end season now earn a spot in one of the European competitions.

The team that wins the league title qualifies directly for the Champions League group stages while the runners-up enter the competition’s qualifying stages in the third round. A third-place finish earns a team entry into the Europa League second qualifying round and fourth-place grants a spot in the Europa Conference League, second qualifying round. Further down the table, the bottom two teams are relegated to the Portuguese second division. The side that finishes 16th has a chance at survival as they will compete with the second division’s third-place team in the relegation playoff.

There are three clubs that dominate the attention and the headlines in the Liga Portugal: FC Porto, Sporting Lisbon and SL Benfica. Unquestionably the most successful teams in the country, these three clubs have astoundingly won a combined 87 of the 89 all-time league championships. This should give you a sense of how top-heavy this league is as it is almost always a three-horse race for the trophy. Benfica lead the all-time list with a record 38 league titles, ahead of Porto in second (30 titles) and Sporting in third (19 titles). Braga will be looking to challenge the established order and their third-place finish last season suggest that they might have a surprise or two up their sleeve for this campaign.

2023/24 should see another fierce battle for the title of Portuguese champions. Players like Mehdi Taremi, João Mario and Pedro Goncalves will be leading their teams in search of silverware which should make for a fascinating league season. Which team will pay out their Liga Portugal odds for the league title? Continue reading on to find out some valuable information to take into your betting process!

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LIGA PORTUGAL BETTING TIPS: 10 TOP STATISTICS TO KNOW

Mehdi Taremi of Porto in action

There were an average of 2.49 goals scored per game in the 2022/23 season, a figure which was down 15% from the year prior.

48% of matches finished over the 2.5 goals mark last season -- a valuable statistic if you're interested in betting on over/unders.

The 2022/23 season saw 90% of matches stay under 2.5 goals in the first half while 70% stayed under 1.5 total first half goals.

The home team enjoyed a solid advantage in the previous campaign, winning 49% of the matches. The away side won 33% and 18% ended in a draw.

The most common scoreline at halftime last season was 0-0, occurring in 33% of league fixtures. The second highest was 1-0 for the home side at 21.2%.

There was an average of 1.42 goals scored per match for the home team and 1.08 goals for the away side last season.

The second half saw 56% of the goals compared to 44% in the first half.

16.3% of fixtures last season finished in a 1-0 scoreline which was the most common in the league.

Both teams scored in only 43% of matches last season.

The final 15 minutes of play saw the most action in the Liga Portugal last season, accounting for 25% of the goals.

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LIGA PORTUGAL: OUR FREE ADVICE FOR THE 2023/24 SEASON

Benfica manager Roger Schmidt

Benfica were highly impressive last season both in domestic competition and in their European endeavors. The Eagles lifted a record 38th league title while also putting together a scintillating run to the Champions League quarter-finals. Despite losing their prized young striker Goncalo Ramos to French giants PSG, Benfica were able to strengthen with the additions of Cabral from Fiorentina, Kokcu from Feyenoord and free agent Angel Di Maria. In addition to keeping a hold of many of their key players from last year's run, they also have arguably the best manager in the league in the forward-thinking Roger Schmidt. They'll undoubtedly be pushed by rivals Porto and Sporting but all signs are pointing towards a title defense in the red side of Lisbon.

2022/23 Season Recap

Winner: SL Benfica won the league title last season with Porto finishing two points behind and Braga coming in third.

European qualification: Benfica, Porto and Braga qualified for the Champions League. Sporting's fourth-place finish qualified them for the Europa League while Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes made the Conference League qualifying rounds.

Relegation: Paços de Ferreira and Santa Clara were demoted to the second division. 16th-place Maritimo lost in the relegation playoff to Estrela da Amadora and were subsequently relegated.

Promoted to Liga Portugal: Moreirense and Farense finished first and second, respectively, in the Segunda Division and thus won automatic promotion. The aforementioned Estrela da Amadora also made the move up after emerging victorious in the playoff.

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Latest Title Odds

FC Porto - 2.10
Benfica - 2.20
Sporting - 6.50
Braga - 34.00
Boavista - 251.00
Arouca - 401.00
Guimarães - 501.00
Casa Pia -751.00
Famalicao - 1001.00
Rio Ave - 1001.00
Gil Vicente - 1001.00
FC Vizela - 1501.00
Moreirense - 2001.00

Odds taken from bet365.co.uk.

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