Making a prediction on the NBA is often the assurance of being thrilled by the greatest basketball tournament in the world. The NBA is the world's premier basketball league, pitting the best franchises in the United States against each other over a full season. Each year, 30 teams compete for the title of NBA champion, in a championship divided into two conferences (East and West). The principle of the competition is simple: after the 82 days of the regular season, the top six franchises in each Conference qualify for the NBA Playoffs at the end of the season, in which each team competes for the Conference title. Franchises ranked between 7th and 10th meet in a mini-tournament to reach the Playoffs. Finally, when the two conferences have finally determined their champion teams, the NBA Finals are held to determine the USA Basketball Champion. This is quite a program in itself, which makes the NBA prediction one of the favorites of basketball betting fans.
In the NBA more than anywhere else, it is obviously the mythical teams that make the hearts of millions of fans around the world vibrate. Each era has featured legendary franchises, from the Chicago Bulls to the Los Angeles Lakers, the Boston Celtics, the New York Knicks, the San Antonio Spurs and the Golden State Warriors. Perhaps more spectacular than tactical, the National Basketball Association (NBA) remains one of the world's most closely followed sports competitions, especially for sports bettors. So get ready for the 2022-2023 season, as NBA betting odds may well take up some of your spare time. This championship is so exciting!
To bet on the NBA, there are obviously some statistics to know about American basketball. First of all, it is important to know that the US basketball championship is a great offensive spectacle. Indeed, contrary to many European competitions, the NBA has always favoured the race for points, rewarding more often the most talented franchises in shooting, than those solid in the defensive fold. The average number of points scored on the floors of the two conferences validates this aspect. Whether in the East or the West, each NBA game sees an average of more than 220 points, as was the case during the last regular season.
Secondly, the importance of playing at home is probably more true in the NBA than in any other league in the world. Over the last ten years, the NBA has averaged a 60% home winning ratio, showing that every team knows how to outperform itself when playing on its home floor. So if you want to bet on a game between two mid-table franchises, you should look more towards the home team. These numbers have held up this season as well, as home teams have an average winning percentage of 60.9% as we approach the halfway point of the 2022/23 season. This is up from last season which saw home teams win just over 55% of their games.
Finally, and this is another figure not to be missed for your NBA predictions, keep in mind that point spreads are the most popular betting market not just in the NBA, but in the majority of United States based sports. There are a few standout performers against the spread so far in the 2022/23 season with the Portland Trailblazers currently covering the number in 60% of their games -- the highest mark in the NBA. The Kings, Celtics, Thunder, 76ers, Pacers and Trailblazers are the only six teams currently with an against the spread record of above 55%.
The Mavericks and the Heat are tied for the current worst against the spread record, covering in only 37.1% of their games and each holding a 13-22-2 record.
Be sure to take into account the home and away performance of each team when making your NBA predictions. An interesting statistic to keep in mind is that 10 teams currently (at roughly the halfway point of the season) have an against the spread record of 60% or higher when playing at home while only two teams have managed to reach that same mark as the away team.
The NBA has once again been the source of a fierce battle between the biggest American franchises, and the season was very intense and full of suspense. Last year, Stephen Curry's Golden State Warriors were deservedly crowned champions. They intend to win back-to-back titles, as they did in 2017 and 2018. For that, they will be able to count on their Finals MVP, Steph Curry, who forms a group of great quality with his teammates Poole, Thompson or Green.
With the season already underway, it’s given us a chance to get a good look at the teams and reassess their championship possibilities. The Celtics are the team that have stood out above the rest so far and bookmakers understandably have them as the team to beat. The Bucks also look set to put together another title run as they attempt to emulate the 2020/21 season which saw them lift the Larry O’Brien trophy over the Phoenix Suns. However, the continued injury concerns of all-star Khris Middleton could ultimately prove to be their achilles heel if the 31-year-old is not healthy come playoff time.
Many of the prominent Western Conference teams such as the Suns and Warriors have seemingly regressed, opening the door for new contenders such as the Pelicans and Grizzlies. This is one of the reasons why it’s difficult for us to see past the Celtics as the pick to win it all. They have shown that their team has tremendous depth as well as a superstar emerging in Jayson Tatum with an all-star level supporting player in Jaylen Brown. The Eastern Conference could very well come down to a battle between Boston and Milwuakee and we would back the winner of that series to go on to ultimately lift the title.