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NBA Betting Tips from our Experts

NBA Prediction 2022-2023

NBA prediction

Making a prediction on the NBA is often the assurance of being thrilled by the greatest basketball tournament in the world.  The NBA is the world's premier basketball league, pitting the best franchises in the United States against each other over a full season. Each year, 30 teams compete for the title of NBA champion, in a championship divided into two conferences (East and West). The principle of the competition is simple: after the 82 days of the regular season, the top six franchises in each Conference qualify for the NBA Playoffs at the end of the season, in which each team competes for the Conference title. Franchises ranked between 7th and 10th meet in a mini-tournament to reach the Playoffs. Finally, when the two conferences have finally determined their champion teams, the NBA Finals are held to determine the USA Basketball Champion. This is quite a program in itself, which makes the NBA prediction one of the favorites of basketball betting fans.

In the NBA more than anywhere else, it is obviously the mythical teams that make the hearts of millions of fans around the world vibrate. Each era has featured legendary franchises, from the Chicago Bulls to the Los Angeles Lakers, the Boston Celtics, the New York Knicks, the San Antonio Spurs and the Golden State Warriors. Perhaps more spectacular than tactical, the National Basketball Association (NBA) remains one of the world's most closely followed sports competitions, especially for sports bettors. So get ready for the 2022-2023 season, as NBA betting odds may well take up some of your spare time. This championship is so exciting!

NBA 2022/23 Dates for your Diary

  • Regular season - October 18, 2022 to April 9, 2023
  • Play-in tournament - April 11-14, 2023
  • Play-offs - April 15, 2023 - May 2023
  • NBA Finals game 1 - June 1, 2023

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NBA Prediction: Statistics to know

NBA betting tips - Basketball USA

To bet on the NBA, there are obviously some statistics to know about American basketball. First of all, it is important to know that the US basketball championship is a great offensive spectacle. Indeed, contrary to many European competitions, the NBA has always favoured the race for points, rewarding more often the most talented franchises in shooting, than those solid in the defensive fold. The average number of points scored on the floors of the two conferences validates this aspect. Whether in the East or the West, each NBA game sees an average of more than 220 points, as was the case during the last regular season.

Secondly, the importance of playing at home is probably more true in the NBA than in any other league in the world. Over the last ten years, the NBA has averaged a 60% home winning ratio, showing that every team knows how to outperform itself when playing on its home floor. So if you want to bet on a game between two mid-table franchises, you should look more towards the home team. These numbers dropped a bit this season as home teams have an average winning percentage of 55.6% through the regular season and the playoffs so far. This is almost perfectly in line with the numbers from last season which saw home teams win just over 55% of their games.

Finally, and this is another figure not to be missed for your NBA predictions, keep in mind that point spreads are the most popular betting market not just in the NBA, but in the majority of United States based sports. There were a few standout performers against the spread in the 2022/23 season with the Utah Jazz covering the number in 58.8% of their games -- the highest mark in the NBA. The Jazz, 76ers, Celtics, Thunder, Knicks, Magic Kings and Nuggets are the only eight teams currently with an against the spread record of above 55%. 

The Mavericks and the Spurs finished with the two worst against the spread records, covering in only 38% and 40.2% of their games, respectively. 

Be sure to take into account the home and away performance of each team when making your NBA predictions.

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NBA : Our free prediction for the 2022-2023 season

NBA Winner prediction

The NBA has once again been the source of a fierce battle between the biggest American franchises, and the season was very intense and full of suspense. Last year, Stephen Curry's Golden State Warriors were deservedly crowned champions. They intend to win back-to-back titles, as they did in 2017 and 2018. For that, they will be able to count on their Finals MVP, Steph Curry, who forms a group of great quality with his teammates Poole, Thompson or Green. 

With the playoffs in full swing, it’s given us a chance to get a good look at the teams and reassess their championship possibilities. The Celtics are the team that have stood out above the rest so far and bookmakers understandably have them as the team to beat, especially after the surprise exit of the top-seeded Bucks at the hands of the Heat in the first round. At the time of writing, Boston currently holds a 2-1 series lead over the third-seed Philadelphia 76ers. If the Celtics can overcome Philly, they would have a clear path to the NBA Finals with a matchup against either the fifth-seed Knicks or the eighth-seed Heat waiting in the Conference Final. 

It’s certainly been an interesting season so far in the Western Conference. With many of the prominent teams such as the Suns, Warriors and Lakers having labored through the long regular season, they are each putting things together now as we get deeper into the playoffs. The defending champions Golden State and the 2020 champion Lakers are duking it out in a blockbuster Western Conference semi-final series that is currently tied at 1-1 at the time of writing. Golden State finished with only the sixth-seed while the Lakers had to go through the Play-in Tournament to earn the seventh-seed. The other series sees the new-look Suns, fresh off their monumental trade to add Kevin Durant to their team, trailing 2-1 against the top-seeded Nuggets. Denver are the current bookmakers favorites to make it out of the West and it’s certainly hard to argue against that with Nikola Jokic playing arguably the best basketball in the league. 

The clean path to the Finals is one of the reasons why it’s difficult for us to see past the Celtics as the pick to win it all. They have shown that their team has tremendous depth as well as the superstar play of Jayson Tatum with an all-star level supporting player in Jaylen Brown. A Finals matchup between Boston and Denver could very well be on the cards with the way things are shaping up so far in the playoffs. While both teams boast excellent depth and their share of star-power, we ultimately think that this is the year that the Celtics put it all together and lift the Larry O’Brien trophy.

Which team will win the NBA title?

  • Boston Celtics - 2.2
  • Denver Nuggets - 5.5
  • Golden State Warriors - 6.5
  • Los Angeles Lakers - 7.0
  • Phoenix Suns - 11.00
  • Miami Heat - 19.00
  • Philadelphia 76ers - 21.00
  • New York Knicks - 51.00

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