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Serie A Betting Tips from our Experts

Serie A prediction 2023-24

A prediction series

The Serie A is the top league in Italy with famous teams from Milan, Rome, Turin, Naples and more. There are 20 teams in the Serie A and they face each other home and away for a total of 38 league matches per club to crown the Italian champions. The top four teams in the final Serie A standings all qualify for the Champions League . Behind them, the fifth-placed club earns its place in the Europa League , while the sixth-placed club qualifies for the Europa Conference League. The clubs finishing in the bottom three are relegated to the Serie B. The three clubs that are relegated are replaced by the top two finishers in the Serie B and the winner of the promotion play-offs. In the 2022-23 Serie A season, Verona and Spezia finished level on points for 17th and 18th place. They played a two-leg play-off to determine who went down with Verona ultimately prevailing and securing their safety.

Last season was an exciting one for Italian clubs. Each of the three European competitions saw an Italian finalist. Inter, Roma and Fiorentina all lost in their respective finals but it shows Italian football is again a major force on the European scene. Another exciting season lies ahead of us as Napoli defends the Serie A title that they won last season, their first in over 30 years.

You can see therefore that this is one of the most exciting leagues in Europe. It's extremely popular with punters around the world, especially the UK. Throughout the season we will be publishing free previews of the top games in Serie A. Our hope is that they will give you lots of winners at the bookies. 

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Serie A Key Statistics

Serie A predictions you need to know

Using statistics certainly helps you when working out the Serie A predictions you make. Here are the key stats from the current 2023/24 season through matchday 25:

  • An average of 2.60 goals are scored in each match played in Serie A this season.
  • 75% of games have over 1.5 goals scored.
  • Over 2.5 goals are scored in 50% of matches.
  • 26% of games see over 3.5 goals scored.
  • Both teams score in 51% of matches.
  • 46% of matches are won by the home side.
  • The away team wins 27% of games.
  • 27% of matches end in a draw.
  • The most common final score this season is 1-1, seen in 13% of games.
  • 56% of goals scored came in the second half.
  • Predictably, it's the 76th to 90th minute that sees the most goals scored - 25%. 
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    Serie A: Our free prediction for the 2023-2024 season

    Serie A free predictions

    Inter have been dominant in the 2023-24 season, losing only once so far through 24 matches played. They currently hold a nine point lead over second-place Juventus, which could be extended even further to 12 points as the Nerazzurri have a game in hand advantage. Inter would have to suffer a monumental collapse to be denied of their 20th Scudetto. As a result, the bookmakers have them as overwhelming betting favorites to win the title. 

    However, with the odds as they are, there isn't much of a point in backing Inter at that extremely heavy price. While we believe that Inter will ultimately go on to lift their first league championship since 2020/21, there is simply more value to be had in backing either second-place Juventus or third-place AC Milan to pull off the comeback at the current odds.

    2022-23 Season Recap

    Champions:   Napoli won the title finishing 16 points ahead of Lazio

    Champions League qualifiers:   Napoli, Lazio, Inter and Milan

    Europa League qualifiers:   Atalanta and Roma

    Europa Conference League qualifier:   Fiorentina (finished eighth but seventh placed Juventus banned from European competitions)

    Relegated:   Spezia (after a play-off with Verona), Cremonese and Sampdoria

    Promoted from Serie B:   Frosinone, Genoa and play-off winners Cagliari.

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    The odds to win the 2023-24 Serie A title

    • Inter Milan - 1.01
    • Juventus - 34.00
    • AC Milan - 81.00
    • Napoli - 1001.00
    • Atalanta - 1001.00
    • Roma - 1001.00
    • Lazio - 1001.00
    • Fiorentina - 1001.00
    • Bologna - 1501.00
    • Torino - 2001.00
    • Genoa - 2001.00
    • Monza - 2001.00

    Odds taken from William Hill

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