Serie A Betting Tips from our Experts

Serie A prediction 2022-2023

serie A prediction


Do you love betting on Serie A?  Serie A is the top league in Italy with famous teams from Milan, Juventus and Napoli. There are 20 teams in Serie A and they face each other home and away in a total of 38 league matches to crown the Italian champions, currently Milan. The first four teams in the final Serie A table all qualify for the Champions League. Behind them, the fifth-placed club earns its place in the Europa League, while the sixth-placed club qualifies for the Europa Conference League. The clubs finishing in the bottom three are relegated to Serie B.

Whether it's to aim for Europe or to stay in the top flight, Italian teams all have their own objectives clear in the competition, and that's why Serie A predictions are becoming increasingly popular among punters. It is to have fun as well as claiming your winnings! Apart from the organisation, it is the magical clubs that make up the championship that make football lovers dream. Juventus, Milan, Inter, Napoli, Roma, Lazio… These are the teams that have made their names known worldwide, which inspires thousands of sports bettors every week. In terms of players, Dusan Vlahovic and Ciro Immobile could well be the headliners again this season, as they both had a successful year. Romelu Lukaku is back at Inter after spending last season at Chelsea. Another former Chelsea striker is Tammy Abraham who is enjoying success with AS Roma. Great odds on Serie A are waiting for you every day at the bookmakers.

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Serie A prediction: Statistics Up to the World Cup break

As far as statistics are concerned, the long existing preconceived ideas about Serie A betting are definitely out the window! Gone are the days when the league used to have a reputation for being extremely defensive and few goals scored. Up to the World Cup break in November, all teams had played 15 of their 38 league games, so it's a good time to look at the statistics of a season that's been dominated by Napoli.

There have been 387 goals scored in the first 150 matches of the season. That's a average of 2.58 goals per game which is down from the 2.87 recorded in the 2021/22 season. It's still a figure that compares well with other top European leagues. Napoli are the top scorers with 37 goals this season, an average close to 2.5 a game. 

A popular bet is the under/over 2.5 goals market and this season, 51% of games have had over 2.5 goals.  That's one in every two games played but slighly down from the 55% recorded last season. Chances are it'll be matched by the time the season comes to an end.

Home teams are doing much better this season. 45% of games have seen the home side come out on top.  That's a big increase from the 39% last season. 24% of games have been drawn, down 2% on last season. Less games are being won by the away team with only 31% of matches being won by the visitors. That's 4% less than in the 2021/22 Serie A season.

1-1 is the most frequent final score, coming up in 13% of games. At half-time, 27% have been goalless at the break. 89% of matches this season have seen under 2.5 goals scored in the first half. 

Finally, bear in mind that Italian matches are often decided by late goals.  This season 53.5% of the goals have been scored in the second half of the match. More precisely, 21.4% of the goals were scored after the 76th minute of the game last season, which is definitely worth considering. 20.4% of goals have come between the 31st minute and the end of the first half. Both these time periods include time added on at the end of the half, so are good to bet on.

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Serie A: Our free prediction for the 2022-2023 season

As Serie A reached its World Cup break (though sadly Italy didn't qualify), it was Napoli who were ruling the roost. They are yet to lose a league game this season and resume the season in January (with a tricky game at Inter) leading Serie A by eight points from defending champions Milan. Juventus are doing well this season and are third but 10 points adrift of the league leaders. The final Champions League qualification place is filled by Lazio, a point behind Juventus. Inter are in ffith place, behind Lazio on goal difference and three points clear of Atalanta and Roma in sixth and seventh places. Can Napoli carry on where they left off, the chances are they will and go onto win the Serie A title.

The odds for the Serie A winner

  • Napoli, odds of 1.44
  • Milan, odds of 7.00
  • Inter Milan, odds of 8,00
  • Juventus, odds of 8,00
  • AS Roma, odds of 67.00
  • Lazio, odds of 67.00
  • Atalanta, odds of 81.00
  • Udinese, odds of 751.00
  • Torino, odds of 751.00
  • Fiorentina, odds of 751.00
  • Sassuolo,odds of 1251.00


Odds taken from and William

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