CSD Independiente Del Valle v America Mineiro Betting Tips [25 May 2022]
Football - Copa Libertadores
25 May 2022 20:00
The match
The final matchday of the Copa Libertadores sees Ecuadorian side Independiente del Valle host Brazilian side America Mineiro in Quito. Independiente currently sit third in group D with five points and will be looking to overtake Tolima, who sit second with eight points but have to face off against heavyweights Atletico MG in the final matchday. A win for the hosts coupled with a Tolima loss would see the Ecuadorians finish second and advance to the Libertadores knockout stages on goal differential. With no possibility of advancing from the group stages after only managing two points from their five matches, America will instead be targeting a third place group finish, which would qualify them for the Copa Sudamericana. However, this would require America to come up with a convincing win away from home, something that hasn’t happened much this season for Coelho who have a 1-1-3 record in the last five away matches. America’s -4 goal differential means that they will have to win by a margin of at least two goals in this match to qualify for South America’s second most prestigious club tournament.
Both sides haven't been in the richest vein of form with Independiente coming off consecutive losses and America now having gone three matches without a win. The hosts will be hoping to bounce back after a disappointing 1-0 home loss to Mushuc Runa in their last match while the visitors have drawn back-to-back matches with their last result finishing 1-1 against Botafogo. We are expecting a strong response from Los Negriazules, who had previously gone seven straight unbeaten in front of their home fans before the defeat the last time out. They should also have plenty of confidence that they can get a positive result here as they won the first matchup in Brazil by a score of 2-0. With both sides desperate for the three points, expect a tense match with the hosts ultimately pulling through in the end.Key Statistics
- Seven of Independientes last nine matches have stayed under the 2.5 goals total.
- America MG are a combined 1-2-3 away from home in both the Brazilian top flight and the Copa Libertadores this season.
- Both sides have been in consistent goal scoring form and each have found the back of the net in eight of their last 10 matches.
The bet of our experts
We’re going to back the hosts Independiente del Valle to get the win here and give themselves a chance of advancing if the other result goes their way. Manager Renato Paiva will surely have let his team know that their home performance in the last match was unacceptable and perhaps they had an eye on this fixture which could have contributed to the flat performance. Either way, we are expecting a strong reply here and a match in which Independiente should be able to get the full three points.
