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West Brom v Burnley Betting Tips [19 October 2020]

Football - Premier League

19 October 2020 9:30

45' :  0 - 0
Over 2.5 goals

The match

West Bromwich Albion and Burnley are just one point adrift in the Premier League bottom-four and are seeking their first win of the season ahead of this crucial encounter at the Hawthorns. West Brom are 17th in the standings with one point from four matches, while Burnley are 18th with no points yet from the three matches they have played.

West Brom are yet to win on their return to Premier League, drawing one and losing three matches. While two of the three losses have been without scoring and by at least a two-goal margin, West Brom’s 3-3 draw against Chelsea was a heartbreaker. After taking a 3-0 lead at half-time, no one expected the ‘Baggies’ to succumb to the relentless pressure. They come into this match with the worst defensive record of the season – 13 goals conceded. Six of those goals were conceded at home in their two matches this season – drawing and losing one. Indeed, this run has extended their poor sequence of results at home in the Premier League – winning one, drawing three, and losing five of their last nine at this venue.

Burnley have been worse than their hosts and have lost their first four matches of the season. A 2-1 loss at Brighton started their season and they followed it up with a 4-1 drubbing at the hands of Leicester City and a 1-0 loss to Southampton. Burnley went into the break with a 3-1 loss to Newcastle United rounding off their poor string of results. Even on the road, Burnley have lost their last two matches in a row, although going unbeaten in four games prior – three wins and a draw.

Key Statistics

  • Five of the last six Premier League matches and 11 of the last 12 matches in all competitions between West Brom and Burnley have produced at least 3 goals.
  • Three of West Brom’s four Premier League matches this season have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Burnley have lost their last four Premier League matches.

The bet of our experts

West Bromwich Albion have already conceded 13 goals, which is the most by any side in the Premier League. Only Swindon in 1993-94 and Southampton in 2012-13 have conceded more goals than West Brom at this stage. Encouragingly, though, the ‘Baggies’ haven’t gone without a win in their first five games of a league campaign since 2004-05. Burnley will have one eye on the history, as they have won just one of their six matches against West Brom – drawing two and losing three – although it was in the last match these two sides met. Additionally, Burnley have lost nine of their last ten league visits to the Hawthorns – a run stretching back to 1971. More recently, both teams have been struggling for impact and this could be the proverbial ‘six pointer’ to avoid relegation spots. We are backing this to produce goals like it did in the recent encounters.

Created on 16/10/2020 at 18:10
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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