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Tommy Paul v Jannik Sinner Betting Tips [12 August 2023]

Tennis - ATP Toronto

12 August 2023 19:30

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The match

Can 12th seeded Tommy Paul cause another upset in the National Bank Open? He faces seventh seeded Jannik Sinner in the last four, 24 hours after beating top seed Carlos Alcaraz. Paul has had a busy tournament with his four matches seeing 11 sets played. Three of his matches have gone to a final set (two against unseeded opponents) and all of them saw him win the first one. Paul reached the last four of the Australian Open earlier this year and that was also on an outdoor hard court. He's in the semi-finals of this tournament for the first time, his previous best being the last eight in 2022 when played in Montreal. He's showing good consistency at present with at least the quarter finals reached in three tournaments in a row. Paul is 1-1 in previous matches against Sinner but this is their first meeting on a hard court.

Jannik Sinner has become one of the most consistent players on the tour, regardless of what surface he's playing on. He is strong on hard courts though and a win here will take him into his fourth final on this surface in 2023. One hard court title has been won in France and he also got to the final in Rotterdam and the Masters event in Miami. Only three players have earned more ranking points than Sinner this year. This is the fourth straight tournament in which he's got to at least the last eight. Only two matches have had to be played to get this far in Toronto. He's beaten Matteo Berrettini and Gael Monfils (in his three set quarter final) and received a walkover against the injured Andy Murray. We tip him to get the win here and face either Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina or Alex de Minaur (both unseeded) in the final. 

Key Statistics

  • Sinner has only had to play two matches so far, Paul had four.
  • Sinner is bidding to reach his fourth hard court final of the year.
  • Sinner has now reached at least the last eight in four successive tournaments.
  • Paul has already lost three sets in this tournament.

The bet of our experts

It's never easy to follow up getting a shock win over the top seed. Tommy Paul has that task in this match as he looks to build on his win over Carlos Alcaraz. The world number one says he didn't play well in Toronto this week, that can't be said of Jannik Sinner. We go for the Italian to get the win and reach the final.
Created on 12/08/2023 at 12:08
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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