The UEFA Champions League spots seem to be stretching out of Sporting Lisbon’s reach and their next league outing, at home to Sporting Braga could worsen their situation. After 17 rounds of matches, the two sides are eight points apart, hosts Sporting in fourth spot on 32 points and Braga second with 40 points. Sporting are coming from a 2-0 loss at home to Porto in the League Cup, ending their three-game undefeated run. They will be aiming at a first clean sheet in six matches, and they have failed to score in two of their last five matches. Sporting have two losses in the last five matches, they’ve scored twice in three of the five games but have conceded twice in two of the matches. Three of their last five games have produced over 2.5 goals and the same is the case in four of their last five league matches.
Sporting Braga are coming into this game unbeaten in their last five matches; all of these have been wins. The last team to beat them was Sporting Lisbon and they will be looking to avenge that 5-0 loss in December 2022. That loss remains the only time they’ve failed to win in the last 11 matches. Braga have three clean sheets in their last five matches and have scored two or more goals in four of their last five matches and four of their last five games have had over 2.5 goals. The only time in 11 matches that they failed to score was in the loss to Sporting Lisbon. They are also unbeaten in the last five league matches, keeping clean sheets in three, and scoring two or more in four.
These two teams are coming from high scoring games and their two most recent meetings have seen 11 goals scored. Over 2.5 goals is a common occurrence in these teams’ meetings; each of their last five has produced that tally. Braga will go into this game as the favorites even though they play away from home. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Braga therefore is for Braga to win with the game producing over 2.5 goals.