Spain v France Betting Tips [5 June 2025]

Stuttgart will host Spain and France for the second semi-final of the 2025 UEFA Nations League. These two former Nations League winners are meeting for a second straight summer after their 2024 European Championship faceoff in Germany. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Both nations had to negotiate through the quarter-finals via post-match penalties. Spain off the back of a 5-5 aggregate draw with the Netherlands, went on to win 5-4 from the spot kicks.

They are looking to become the first team to win the Nations League back-to-back. Spain replaced France as Nations League champions and will seek to dump them out here.

France will be keen on avenging their 2-1 loss to Spain at the 2024 European Championship. That was the fourth meeting between the two in the last 10 years, with each nation winning twice.

A balanced affair it is, France playing here by virtue of overturning a first leg loss to Croatia in the quarter-finals. Les Bleus lost 2-0 away in the first leg and won at home by the same margin.

They then won 5-4 in the penalties. If recent form was to be put in consideration here, France would be the underdogs, having lost three of their last 10 matches. Spain are unbeaten in their last 18 matches.

Spain and France both advanced to the semis though post-match penalties, perhaps an indication of their defensive vulnerabilities. The two nations have capable men in attack and this covers well for whatever shortcomings they have in defence.

Going by their recent results, however, Spain look likely to edge this. The holders are on an 18-match unbeaten run and among the teams they’ve beaten in that run is France. Mentally, Spain look stronger than France. Our prediction for Spain v France is for Spain to win and both teams to score.