The Italian Serie A is set to come down to the final two match days as a number of key positional battles remain unresolved in the league table. Our match here sees eighth-place Fiorentina with 59 points battling for European qualification as they only trail the top six on goal differential. They travel to Genoa to take on a Sampdoria side currently sitting 16th who are not yet officially safe from relegation. Samp hold a four point cushion over the drop zone with only two matches remaining and can guarantee their safety with three points. Even a draw for the hosts would likely be enough to secure another season in the Italian top-flight. Fiorentina snapped a three game losing slide in their last match with a 2-0 home win over Roma while Sampdoria suffered a 2-0 defeat away to Lazio.The hosts will be expecting an improved performance at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris although they haven’t been overly impressive when playing in front of the home fans this season. A home record of only five wins, three draws and 10 defeats is not that much of an improvement over their away league record. What we can focus on in relation to our bet is Samdoria’s improved scoring consistency when at home – I Blucerchiati have managed to get on the scoresheet in 15 of their 18 home matches compared to just 10 of their 18 away matches. Combined with Fiorentia’s dramatic drop off in defensive solidity when playing away from home and this becomes a prime candidate for a match that sees both teams scoring.
We’re going to back both teams to score as our bet for this match. Fiorentina see a drastic drop in their quality of play and results when playing away from home which should result in La Viola conceding at least a goal. This is an important match for boths sides with each club having a lot on the line in the final two matchdays. Ultimately we see this one likely ending in a stalemate with a 1-1 scoreline the most likely result.