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Madison Keys v Aryna Sabalenka Betting Tips [12 July 2023]

Tennis - WTA Wimbledon Championships

12 July 2023 8:00

Aryna Sabalenka Match Winner
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The match

Second seeded Aryna Sabalenka bids to reach her second successive Wimbledon semi-final. To do so, the 25-year-old has to beat the 25th seed Madison Keys who is in her second Wimbledon quarter final. The winner of this match will face either defending champion Elina Rybakina or sixth seeded Ons Jabuer. Sabaleka is chasing a fourth title of the year but has never won a WTA grass court tournament with only two finals reached. One grass court warm-up event was played this year but that ended with defeat to Veronika Kudermetova in the last 16. Sabalenka has shown good form at Wimbledon and only dropped one set. That was when losing the opening set of her round two match with Varvara Gracheva. Seven sets have been played by her in this tournament where her opponent failed to win more than three games. 

There have been two previous meetings between the pair and they are level at 1-1. The one win Keys has had was on grass in Berlin two years ago. Sabalenka has improved on grass since then though. The former US Open finalist was ranked 18th at the start of this tournament. Her run to the last eight has seen her clinb to 15th and beating Sabalenka would take the American up to 11th place. It's been a long wait for Keys to reach her second Wimbledon quarter final. Her previous last-eight appearance was back in 2015. Keys won the Eastbourne grass court title prior to this Grand Slam. That saw her beat three top 30 ranked players including Coco Gauff. Her good form on this surface has continued at these championships. The 28-year-old won each of her first three matches in straight sets. That run ended in round four when dropping the first set to qualifier Andreeva. It took a tie-break to level the match and the final set was won 6-3. Keys will put up a good fight here but we go for Sabalenka to get the win.

Key Statistics

  • Sabalenka began this tournament ranked 16 places above her opponent.
  • Sabalenka is top of the Live WTA Tour Race.
  • Sabalenka has won seven sets in which her opponent didn't get more than three games.
  • Sabalenka is bidding to reach her second successive seni-final at Wimbledon.

The bet of our experts

Aryna Sabalenka continues her bid to win this title for the first time. Only one set has been dropped to date and she's put in some powerful performances. Madison Keys will give her a stiff test but did look vulnerable at times in the last round. We go for Sabalenka to get the win.
Created on 11/07/2023 at 15:07
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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