Madison Keys v Aryna Sabalenka Betting Tips [12 July 2023]

Second seeded Aryna Sabalenka bids to reach her second successive Wimbledon semi-final. To do so, the 25-year-old has to beat the 25th seed Madison Keys who is in her second Wimbledon quarter final. The winner of this match will face either defending champion Elina Rybakina or sixth seeded Ons Jabuer. Sabaleka is chasing a fourth title of the year but has never won a WTA grass court tournament with only two finals reached. One grass court warm-up event was played this year but that ended with defeat to Veronika Kudermetova in the last 16. Sabalenka has shown good form at Wimbledon and only dropped one set. That was when losing the opening set of her round two match with Varvara Gracheva. Seven sets have been played by her in this tournament where her opponent failed to win more than three games. 

There have been two previous meetings between the pair and they are level at 1-1. The one win Keys has had was on grass in Berlin two years ago. Sabalenka has improved on grass since then though. The former US Open finalist was ranked 18th at the start of this tournament. Her run to the last eight has seen her clinb to 15th and beating Sabalenka would take the American up to 11th place. It's been a long wait for Keys to reach her second Wimbledon quarter final. Her previous last-eight appearance was back in 2015. Keys won the Eastbourne grass court title prior to this Grand Slam. That saw her beat three top 30 ranked players including Coco Gauff. Her good form on this surface has continued at these championships. The 28-year-old won each of her first three matches in straight sets. That run ended in round four when dropping the first set to qualifier Andreeva. It took a tie-break to level the match and the final set was won 6-3. Keys will put up a good fight here but we go for Sabalenka to get the win.