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Jannik Sinner v Roman Safiullin Betting Tips [11 July 2023]

Tennis - ATP Wimbledon Championships

11 July 2023 10:50

Over 3.5 sets to be played
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The match

Eighth seeded Jannik Sinner is on course to reach his first ever Wimbledon semi-final. The Italian takes on unseeded Roman Safiullin with the winner up possibly facing either Andrey Rublev or Novak Djokovic in the last four. Sinner is the current world number eight and remains in that position in the live rankings. Sinner lost his first two matches at Wimbledon, one in the qualifying rounds four years ago. He's improved on grass though and made it to the quarter finals here last year defeating Carlos Alcaraz in the fourth round. He even led Novak Djokovic two sets to love in the last eight but ended up losng to the eventual champion. He's already reached two grass court quarter finals this year and has continued his good form at Wimbledon. He has only lost one set in his four matches. That was when losing the first set to Quentin Halys in round three. He's had one previous meeting with Safiullin, winning in straight sets in the 2022 United Cup. This is their first meeting on grass.

Roman Safiullin has moved up 49 places in the live rankings. He was 92nd at the start of this tournament but has now risen to 43rd and that's 33 positions above his career high ranking. Beating Sinner could see him rise up to 28th on the live list. This is the first time that Safiullin has played in the main draw at Wimbledon. He's also made it past the second round of a Grand Slam for the first time in his career. Three grass court warm-up events were played by Safiullin but he didn't make it past the last 16 of them. His form has been a revelation at Wimbledon but he nearly made a first round exit. He trailed 20th seed Roberto Bautista Agut two sets to one but recovered to win the match. Since then he's only dropped one set in three matches. That was in the fourth round when dropping the first set to 26th seed Denis Shapovalov. He then lost just seven games in the next three sets. We believe Sinner can win this match but Safiulllin looks capable of at least winning a set, so go for over 3.5 sets to be played. 

Key Statistics

  • Sinner lost a set in his match against Quentin Halys.
  • Safiullin has already won six sets against seeded players in this tournament.
  • Sinner has lost a set in four of his last seven matches.
  • Two of Safiullin's matches in this tournament have had over 3.5 sets played in them.

The bet of our experts

,At one stage Jannik Sinner looked like a player who wouldn't do well on grass courts. That's all changed though and he's in his second successive Wimbledon quarter final. He takes on unseeded Roman Safiullin who has already beaten two seeds in this tournament. He fought back brilliantly to defeat both Roberto Bautista Agut and Denis Shapovalov. This looks to be the end of the road for him but we feel he can take a set off Sinner. We go for over 3.5 sets to be played in this match.
Created on 10/07/2023 at 11:07
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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