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Jannik Sinner v Daniil Medvedev Betting Tips [2 April 2023]

Tennis - ATP Miami

2 April 2023 13:00

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The match

Fourth seed Daniil Medvedev is in his fifth consecutive final and takes on tenth seeded Jannik Sinner in the Miami Masters final. A win for Medvedev will take him above Casper Ruud into fourth place in the rankings. He's already top of the ATP Race for ranking points earned this year. That's not surprising after a run of three titles in a row, being the Indian Wells runner-up and now this final in Miami. His three-set semi-final win over Karen Khachanov means he's now won 24 of his last 25 matches. The only loss being to Carlos Alcaraz in that Indian Wells final.  That's the only set Medvedev has lost in this tournament. There have been five previous meetings with Sinner and Medvedev has won them all. The most recent of those was in this year's Rotterdam final, though the Italian did win the first set. Medvedev recovered well to win the next two for the loss of only four games. All five losses have come in the past three years and were in indoor rather than outdoor hard court tournaments.

Jannik Sinner began this tournament ranked 11th but is up to ninth in the live rankings which equals his career hight. A win over Medvedev will take him into sixth position. In the ATP Race, he's doing even better as he's fourth and winning the Miami Masters will see him go up to third. The Italian is in his third final of the year and was victorious in the Montpellier tournament. He reached the last four in Indian Wells and has gone one round further in Miami. The last four saw him get revenge on Alcaraz for that Indian Wells defeat. He lost the first set on a tie-break but only lost six games in the next two sets to end the Spaniard's reign as world number one. This will be a closely fought final but our tip is for Medvedev to get the win.

Key Statistics

  • Medvedev has won all five previous matches against Sinner.
  • The most recent win was in the Rotterdam final this year.
  • This is the fifth consecutive final that Medvedev has reached.
  • Medvedev has won 24 of his last 25 matches.

The bet of our experts

This should be a great conclusion to what has been an exciting Miami Masters tournament. Daniil Medvedev is ultra-consistent at present and top of the ATP Race. He's in his fifth final in a row and has won three titles this year. Jannik Sinner has won one and is also in excellent form, beating Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-final. Our tip here is for Medvedev (who's never lost to his opponent) to beat Sinner, it might take three sets.
Created on 01/04/2023 at 17:04
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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