Hamburg v Stuttgart Betting Tips [5 June 2023]

2. Bundesliga third-place finishers Hamburg have it all to do when host Bundesliga 16th-placed Stuttgart in the promotion/relegation playoff. Stuttgart ran out deserved 3-0 winners in the first leg to put themselves in a dominant position to secure another season of top flight football. Hamburg, on the other hand, are facing an uphill battle. They’ll have to overturn the three goal deficit if the storied German club is to return to the Bundesliga for the first time in five years.

Stuttgart were dominant against Hamburg at the Mercedes-Benz Arena on Thursday. They fired off 18 shots to Hamburg’s seven and created six clear cut chances while conceding only one. Hamburg are fortunate to even have something of a chance here as they easily could’ve lost the previous match by four or five goals. Stuttgart enter this fixture on a four game unbeaten run, two of which have resulted in victories. However, they’ll have to reconcile with their poor away form ahead of this fixture. The Reds managed only two away league wins this campaign while also suffering nine road defeats. One of those wins occurred in their most recent away match when they triumphed 4-1 over Mainz. The three points would prove to be crucial in Stuttgart avoiding the automatic relegation positions.

Hamburg will have to be at their absolute best if they are to level this one up on aggregate. They can take inspiration from their solid record at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburg have won 11 of their 17 outings on home soil and have suffered defeat on only three occasions. Prior to their first leg defeat, Hamburg had previously won three in a row to end the 2. Bundesliga season. The Red Shorts have also won three of their last four home fixtures, scoring at least two goals in each of those games. This is the second straight season that Hamburg find themselves in the promotion playoff. Last year ended with a heartbreaking 3-0 aggregate defeat to Hertha Berlin.

This is a tough spot for Hamburg facing down a three goal aggregate deficit. The 1983 European Cup winners have put up strong home results this season which will give them confidence. Stuttgart understandably come into this away match as the favorites given their Bundesliga status and the first leg result. However, we believe Hamburg should be closer to their opponents in the odds. While a full comeback may be slightly beyond their reach, Hamburg have the ability to get a result here. Our Hamburg vs Stuttgart prediction is for Hamburg on the double chance.