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Fiorentina v Roma Betting Tips [27 May 2023]

Football - Serie A

27 May 2023 12:00

45' :  0 - 1
Under 2.5 Goals
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The match

Sixth placed AS Roma travel to Fiorentina as they continue their bid to get into the Champions League. The hosts are 11th in the table and need to bounce back from their Coppa Italia defeat. Roma have just two Serie A games to play and are four points behind the final Champions League qualifying position. Their current sixth place takes them into the Europa League but they could drop down into the Europa Conference League if ending the season poorly. Juventus are in seventh and only a point behind Roma, whose final game is at home to Spezia.  Of course, Jose Mourinho's team could end up in the Champions League if beating Sevilla in the upcoming Europa League final. Roma are not in the best of form at present. Their only win in the last eight matches played was the home Europa League win over Bayer Leverkusen. Just five points have been earned from their last six Serie A matches. Five have ended level with the other a home loss to Inter. They twice had to come from behind to get a 2-2 home draw with Salernitano last weekend. Scoring twice was welcome news for Roma as they'd only scored once in their four previous matches. Away form has seen them win just one of the last 12 in all competitions. Nine of the last 11 have had under 2.5 goals scored.

Fiorentina also have a European final to prepare for. They face West Ham in the Europa Conference League final and that's their only route into European football next season. They can't qualify via their league placing and on Wednesday, lost the Coppa Italia final. The 2-1 loss to Inter was disappointing after taking a third minute lead. Fiorentina have only lost one of their last five league games, a 1-0 loss at champions Napoli. Their most recent Serie A match saw them take the lead at Torino but only draw 1-1. Home form is strong at present with a seven-game unbeaten run in Serie A with the last two matches won to nil. Their last three league fixtures have all seen under 2.5 goals scored and we go for that stat to come up in this game.

Key Statistics

  • Nine of the last 11 Fiorentina away games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  • There have been under 2.5 goals scored in the last three Fiorentina league fixtures.
  • The last two games between these two clubs have both seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last five Roma Serie A fixtures.

The bet of our experts

Roma's chances of a top four finish could end this weekend. They are four points behind Milan (away at Juventus on Sunday) with just two games remaining. Roma may be in the Europa League final but form in Serie A has been poor of late. Fiorentina lost the Coppa Italia final in midweek and have little to play for in the league. We go for under 2.5 goals to be scored in this match.
Created on 25/05/2023 at 12:05
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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