Empoli v Lazio Betting Tips [3 June 2023]
Football - Serie A
3 June 2023 14:00
The match
Lazio can wrap up the runners-up position in the Serie A when they travel to 14th-place Empoli for the final match of the season. It’s been a successful campaign for the Biancoceleste who are two points ahead of third-place Inter and have secured themselves Champions League football for next season. Lazio are coming off a 3-2 home win over Cremonese thanks to an 89th minute Milinkovic-Savic goal in their most recent fixture. It was the Eagles’ second consecutive win and their 11th home win of the league season. Key to Maurizio Sarri’s success this season with Lazio has been his side’s consistency when playing both home and away. The visitors have the second-best away record in the Serie A this season with 10 wins and four draws from 18 trips up to this point. Lazio have also maintained a sublime defensive record and their 12 away goals conceded is the best mark in the league.
The hosts have nothing left to play for as they are guaranteed of at least a 15th-place finish. Empoli can potentially finish 13th if they are able to beat Lazio and Sassuolo lose. They could also be overtaken by 15th-place Salernitana who trail them by only a single point and have a much more manageable final fixture. Empoli had an excellent finish to the Serie A season. Their run of 10 points earned from the last five matches is the reason why they were able to comfortably avoid a relegation battle. The hosts are on a five match unbeaten run, three of which have ended in victories. Their most recent match was a 1-1 away draw with Verona and their last match at this ground finished in a famous 4-1 win over Juventus. Empoli have been a tough out at the Stadio Carlo Castellani all season, losing only six of their 18 matches while also racking up eight wins along the way.
Key Statistics
- Empoli have won their last three in a row at home, scoring nine goals and conceded three during that stretch.
- The hosts are in fine goal-scoring form, netting in their last six straight for a total of 12 goals during that time.
- The last two meetings between these sides both finished in draws.
- Empoli have avoided defeat at home in 12 of their 18 home matches this season.
- Lazio have lost two of their last three away games.
The bet of our experts
The bookmakers might be overvaluing the motivation factor coming into this fixture. Lazio technically have more on the line as they are still fighting for second-place but Empoli have been a solid home team all season. Additionally, they are in great form at the Stadio Carlo Castellani with four wins from the last five including the previous three in a row. Lazio deserve to be favorites given their overall performance this season but the home team should not be getting this high of a price. For that reason, we see a good bit of value in backing Empoli to avoid defeat. Our Empoli vs Lazio prediction is Empoli on the double chance.
