Cyprus v Greece Betting Tips [24 September 2022]

Football - UEFA Nations League

24 September 2022 14:45

45' :  1 - 0
Under 2.5 Goals

The match

The UEFA Nations League Group 2C sees group leaders Greece travel to Larnaca to take on Cyprus at the AEK Arena for the second to last fixture of the group stages. The visitors have already wrapped up the group and will be promoted to League B for the next edition of the Nations League after winning all four of their matches so far. Greece leads second-place Kosovo by six points and hold the head-to-head tiebreaker after a 1-0 away win was followed up by a 2-0 home win in their most recent outing. They’ll try to maintain their perfect winning record when they take on fourth-place Cyprus, who will be battling to avoid relegation to League D. The Cypriots have a 0-2-2 record in the competition, which puts them even on points with third-place Northern Ireland but trail on goal differential after scoring two and conceding seven in total.

Greece have clearly shown that they are a step above this level of competition and are certainly more in line with the talent level in League B. The Sky Blue and Whites have yet to concede in this tournament, keeping four consecutive clean sheets on their way to a 4-0-0 record. As per the DNA of the Greek national team, they haven’t been blowing teams away on the offensive side of the ball and their seven total goals is tied for the third-highest total in League C. They will certainly fancy their chances of making it five clean sheets from five when they take on a Cyprus side that they beat 3-0 at home in the reverse fixture. Cyprus has struggled to find the net in this competition, only netting two goals and being held scoreless in three of their four matches. However, the home defense has at least seen an improvement as Cyprus has only conceded two goals on home soil compared to five away from home.

Key Statistics

  • There have been under 2.5 goals scored in nine of Greece’s last 10 matches.
  • Cyprus has kept a clean sheet in two of their previous three matches when playing on home soil and have seen six of their last eight home matches finish with under 2.5 goals.
  • Greece has scored a total of three total goals in their last five away matches, never scoring more than once and being shut out on two occasions.

The bet of our experts

We’re going to back under 2.5 goals as our bet for this one. There is still a good amount of value to be had at this price given the defensive tendencies of both teams. Cyprus is a much better defensive team when playing at home while Greece sees their attacking output take a significant dropoff when playing as the visitors. With the group already wrapped up for the Greeks, there is also a higher chance of a flat performance than if they were still battling for the group lead. The hosts should be fired up for this one as they will want to avoid being relegated for next season’s Nations League and we are likely to see them channel their energy into an improved showing on the defensive side rather than the offensive side.
Created on 22/09/2022 at 17:09
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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