Bulgaria and Gibraltar are out of contention for top spot in Group C4 of the UEFA Nations League but will be battling to avoid relegation when they face off on Match Day 5. Bulgaria hosts this game, placed third with three points while Gibraltar, who are also winless up to this point, are bottom with just a point. Bulgaria will avoid relegation if they avoid defeat in this game. They go into the game without a win in eight matches and they have one win and a clean sheet in the last 10. Even in their poor run of form, Bulgaria have only failed to score in two of their last 10 matches. They’ve however conceded two or more goals in five of their last 10 matches. Playing at home, Bulgaria have managed three wins in five matches and scored in all five matches.
Gibraltar are coming into this game winless in their last 21 matches; in their last outing, they suffered a 4-0 loss at the hands of Macedonia, that being their third loss in the last four matches. They’ve failed to score in eight of their last 10 matches and in seven of their last 10 games, they have conceded two or more goals, while managing two clean sheets only. The visitors have been poor in attack and have scored just one goal in their last five matches. It is worse for them away from home, having lost each of the last six matches, and while they’ve failed to score in all of the last four, they have conceded four or more in the last five.
Gibraltar are in really poor form and their placing at the bottom of the group is warranted, given the kind of performance they’ve had. We do not expect much from Gibraltar and we will thus expect Bulgaria to lead in both halves.