Bayer Leverkusen v Freiburg Betting Tips [14 May 2022]
Football - Bundesliga
14 May 2022 9:30
The match
The Bundesliga concludes with matchday 34 when third-place Leverkusen host a fifth-place Freiburg team still battling for UEFA Champions League football. Leverkusen have locked up a top three finish with 61 points and a four point lead over fourth-place Leipzig, granting Die Werkself a return to the Champions League after a two-year absence. The visitors, on the other hand, are seeking the club’s first ever entry into UEFA’s most prestigious competition and will need a combination of a win in this match, along with a Leipzig loss to Arminia Bielefeld if they are to qualify. Freiburg are even in danger of losing their fifth position as sixth-place Union Berlin trail by only one point and close their campaign out by hosting 11th-place Bochum. Freiburg are coming off a heavy 4-1 defeat in their last match to Union after previously taking 13 points from their last five, while Leverkusen are coming off a 4-2 away win against Hoffenheim to make it three wins on the bounce.
There is an interesting situational angle that we might be able to take advantage of in this match. Leverkusen have nothing left to play for having already wrapped up third-place and this is the last match of the season before the players start their vacations. Freiburg, however, still have a lot on the line in this match and also have the DfB Pokal final against Leipzig next weekend. The visitors should undoubtedly be the more focused team as there could be sections of the Leverkusen squad that have already mentally started their holidays. Freiburg have also been a very solid away team this campaign and have the Bundesliga’s fourth highest away points total with 26 and a record of 7-5-4. They won’t be entering this match facing a massive Leverkusen home field advantage, either, as the hosts actually have a higher points total when playing away from home this season.
Key Statistics
- Leverkusen are 4-0-2 in their last six at home while Freiburg are 3-1-2 away.
- Freiburg have the Bundesliga’s third highest clean sheet record with 10 in 33 matches with a league leading six coming away from home.
- Freiburg won the first fixture 2-1 at home back in December of 2021.
The bet of our experts
We’re going with Freiburg on the draw no bet as our bet for this match. This is a decent spot to play the motivation angle with the visitors still having a lot to play for in their final two matches. An outside shot at the Champions League and a cup final coming up next week should see this Freiburg team come out playing with more focus than Leverkusen who have already secured their position in the league. The draw no bet is a nice little push insurance but the visitors need the three points here so we should see them pushing for the winner if the score is tied up late.
