Atletico Madrid’s chase for a top four finish in La Liga will pit them against arch rivals Real Madrid in their next game. Hosts Atletico go into the game placed fourth with 61 points, 20 below league leaders Real Madrid. The race for top four places is crowded and as things stand, only Real Madrid are assured. Any of the teams placed second to eighth can get into the top four, and Atletico Madrid will be making steps to secure their place. They haven’t done so well in the run up to this game but they will bank heavily on the home support they have. In the last seven home matches, Atletico are unbeaten, winning four but keeping just three clean sheets. In six of 10 home matches, Atletico have scored two or more goals. Their form against Real Madrid hasn’t been very impressive, failing to score in five of six meetings.
Real Madrid are unbeaten in eight competitive matches against Atletico Madrid and while they will want to keep that run going, they have no motivation to fight hard here. They’ve already won the league title and have the Champions League final to prepare for so we expect a lot of first team players to be rested here. This will affect their momentum but Real Madrid will not mind. They have scored three or more goals in each of the last five games, but they have just one clean sheet in those five matches. Real Madrid are coming from a stunning win over Manchester City in the Champions League semi finals but they may fail to ride on the 3-1 home win as minds switch to the Champions League final. Their away run in the league has five straight wins and each of the last four has produced over 2.5 goals.
Real Madrid have done well in matches against Atletico Madrid but there’s all the indication things will be different here. Real Madrid have nothing to play for here and are better placed resting players in preparation for the Champions League final. Atletico Madrid on the other hand, are in the top four race and really need three points here. With this in mind, we will go for a home win in this game.