Relegation candidates Burnley travel to the Emirates to take on top four hopefuls Arsenal for matchday 23 of the Premier League. Mikel Arteta will be hoping for a positive reaction from his team after his side was just recently dumped out of two cup competitions in the span of 11 days and have now gone four matches without a win. Their last match was a 2-0 home defeat to Liverpool which saw them exit the Carabao Cup in the semi-final. Arsenal are involved in a four team battle for the fourth spot in the league table as the Gunners currently sit in sixth place on 35 points, trailing West Ham by two points although with two games in hand. Their opponents are a Burnley side who desperately need to start picking up points if they are to survive the drop and avoid relegation to the Championship. Sean Dyche’s side currently sit rock bottom with 11 points and trail 17th place Watford by three points. The good news is that Burnley have a handful of games in hand and they will be hoping to cash one of those in here at the Emirates. Burnley’s last match was a disappointing 2-1 home loss to Championship side Huddersfield in the FA Cup.
The key point that we are going to focus on for our bet in this match is Arsenal’s drastically better form when playing at home. The north London side is 7-1-2 at home in the league with a +10 goal differential compared to 4-1-5 away with a -2 goal differential. Arsenal have performed especially well on the defensive end at home and were on a four match home league clean sheet run before their unlucky 2-1 defeat to Manchester City. They’ve been airtight against some of the lower half teams as well and overall have kept five clean sheets in their 10 home matches. Burnley are likely to struggle in this one given they have failed to win an away match in the Premier League this season and have only scored eight times while conceding 19 on their travels.
Arsenal were able to field a strong side in the loss against Liverpool after a number of players recovered in time despite there being doubts over their availability. With a lot of key pieces fit and Arsenal’s preferred starting back four all set to play we’re going to back the hosts to record a shutout win in this match. Arsenal have been able to record this kind of victory against a number of the bottom half caliber teams this season and we expect that trend to continue in this one. 2-0 or 3-0 to the Arsenal are the most likely score lines.