Mainz will play host to Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich in the 29th round of matches in the league. The two sides have key ambitions from this game, Bayern looking to open a five-point gap at the top and Mainz seeking to close in on the top six, being just two points out. Mainz have had a fairly good run coming into this game; they are undefeated in their last nine matches, with five wins in that run. Among the teams they have beaten in that run are Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig so they will feel three points here are achievable. If so, they will need a bigger performance than in their 4-0 loss to Bayern the last time the two sides faced off – in the DFB Pokal. That loss was also the last time Mainz failed to score in a game; they have scored in each of their last 10 matches, but will need to build from a run of just one win in the last five matches. Mainz have managed just three clean sheets in 10 matches, and both teams have scored in seven of their 10 games. In the last two home matches against Bayern, Mainz have emerged winners and will be seeking the same here.
Bayern Munich aren’t having a great time coming into this game. Their recent elimination from the DFB Pokal by Freiburg was followed soon after by elimination from the Champions League by Manchester City. The champions now have just the Bundesliga to play for, yet they aren’t enjoying a comfortable gap at the top the way they are used to at this point of the season. Bayern leads Borussia Dortmund by just two points and the pressure is on, with Dortmund also playing for the league title only. In the last five matches, Bayern Munich have managed one win only, and they have one clean sheet too in that run, with both teams scoring in three of their last five matches. In three of their last five away matches, Bayern Munich have lost, conceding two or more goals in the process. They have one clean sheet in five away matches and four of the five games have had over 2.5 goals scored.
Mainz aren’t likely to be cowed by Bayern heading into this game; they have won in Bayern’s last two visits here, and they have a good run coming into this game. Mainz are on a good scoring run, but the same can also be said of Bayern Munich, and both teams have been in high scoring matches in recent times. We will back both teams to score, and over 2.5 goals in this Mainz v Bayern Munich game.