The final group stage match of the 2022/23 Champions League sees FC Porto hosting Atlético Madrid at the Estadio do Dragao for this Group B matchup. The Portuguese champions will be pleased to be advancing to the knockout stages after securing themselves passage with a dominant 4-0 away win against group leaders Club Brugge in matchday five. Porto sit second in the group as things currently stand with a 3-0-2 putting them on nine points. They can still leapfrog the Belgians whom they trail by just a point heading into the final match. On the other side, Atletico Madrid have been eliminated from the UEFA Champions League but can still secure qualification to the knockout rounds of the UEFA Europa League by holding onto their third-place standing. Atleti has five points on a 1-2-2 in the group stage and lead fourth-place Leverkusen by just one point.
Although Atletico will undoubtedly be disappointed with being eliminated from the Champions League, they do still have something to fight for as they look to secure their entry into the Europa League. Manager Diego Simeone will not allow his side to simply throw in the towel so you can expect an envigored Colchoneros team up for a scrap. The visitors had a six match unbeaten run come to an end in their last outing in La Liga, a 3-2 away defeat to formerly bottom of the table Cadiz. “Cholo” Simeone will demand an improved performance from his side here, particularly on the defensive side of the ball after giving up three goals to the league’s lowest scoring team. Porto also have a great deal on the line here as they try to pip Club Brugge for the top spot on the final matchday. With both teams in desperate need of points, expect his match to turn into a tightly contested, likely-low scoring affair.
We’re going to back under 2.5 goals as our pick for this match. The reverse fixture between these two sides was 0-0 after 90 minutes before an incredible sequence of events saw three goals scored in the 11 minutes of added time. Expect a similarly tight performance in this one between two very good defensive sides. It’s difficult to call a winner in this match and the current lines reflect how even the oddsmakers place these teams. This looks to be a match which only sees a goal or two at most.