Italy v Germany Betting Tips [20 March 2025]

One of Germany or Italy will host the final four teams in the Nations League. Before then, the two nations will meet in the first leg of the quarter-finals of the competition. Italy welcomes Germany for this match, and we have a prediction below.

In Italy’s last outing, at home, they faced a giant in France, and they lost 3-1. Another top European nation comes calling and Italy will want to make better use of home advantage.

The loss to France ended a five-match unbeaten run, which had also started with a win against France. That marked their only loss at home in seven Nations League matches.

Germany boast a six-match unbeaten record coming into this game. They haven't tasted defeat since their loss in the Euro Championship quarter-final against Spain.

In those six matches after that defeat, the visitors posted four wins and scored a total of 18 goals. Having scored at least two goals in four of their last six matches, the Germans will have reason to feel confident coming here.

They are also undefeated in their last six meetings with Italy. The most recent of such meetings was at home in the Nations League in 2022. That one ended 5-2, with Italy’s goals coming late when trailing 5-0.

This fixture has lately been synonymous with high scoring matches. The last five meetings between these two sides produced 16 goals. A glance at the individual teams’ recent performances, high scores have also been the norm. 

In Italy’s last five matches, 17 goals were netted and Germany’s last five had 17 goals. It means on average, over 2.5 goals were realized in most of the two nations matches. Our prediction for Italy v Germany will, therefore, be over 2.5 goals.