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World - World Cup
14/07/2026
15:00
SF
France
World - World Cup
14/07/2026
15:00
SF
Spain
France vs Spain prediction, World Cup
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France vs Spain predictions summary
France vs Spain 1X2 prediction
Two teams with three World Cup titles face off as Spain meets France in the first semi-final at the 2026 World Cup. Two-time winners France will be gunning for a place in the final for the third straight time. The two nations are facing off for the 39th time with Spain holding the head-to-head advantage. La Roja won 18 of the earlier 38 meetings, including seven of the last 10. Two of their latest victories in this fixture happened to be at Euro 2024 and the 2025 Nations League. To get here, Spain left it late in the quarter-finals, beating Belgium 2-1 in a game they conceded for the first time at this tournament. France, who last won the World Cup in 2018, have also posed as a solid side in this tournament. Alongside Argentina, Les Bleus have been among the most consistent nations on the world stage. They haven’t conceded a goal in the knockouts while netting six times in the three matches after a dominant showing in Group I. Didier Deschamps' side will want to extend the same against the European champions, though this could well be their toughest match. As two good sides meet, our prediction is for a draw at full time.
Spain wins
Probability : 48.5%|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| France | stat | Spain |
|
6
|
Wins |
5
|
|
0
|
Draws |
1
|
|
5
|
Wins: home team 1/away team 2 |
5
|
|
1
|
Losses: home team 1/away team 2 |
0
|
|
0
|
Draws: home team 1/away team 2 |
1
|
France vs Spain under/over prediction
This match is bound to be very tactical as two top managers face off in Luis de la Fuente of Spain and France’s Didier Deschamps. France have dominated their matches so far, and whenever there has been a high score, it was a result of such. They’ve led in all their matches so far, only conceding two goals. Their last two matches produced under 2.5 goals, and it was only because for the first and second time in this tournament, they failed to score three or more. The French are coming off a 2-0 win against Morocco, having beaten Paraguay 1-0 earlier. Spain have failed to score 3+ in three of their six matches at the World Cup so far. One of the matches was the crazy 0-0 draw with debutants Cape Verde in the opening round at the group stage. There has been a massive improvement after that, with Spain scoring 11 in the next five games. Like France, half of Spain’s matches that hit over 2.5 goals were down to the European champions’ scoring form. With both sides doing well in defence, our prediction is for less than 2.5 goals here.
+2.5
Probability: 70.73%|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| France | stat | Spain |
|
3
|
Average goals per game |
2
|
|
2.67
|
Average goal scored |
1.83
|
|
0.33
|
Goals conceded per match |
0.17
|
|
33 %
|
Matches with -2.5 goals |
50 %
|
|
67 %
|
Matches with +2.5 goals |
50 %
|
|
3.17
|
Average goals home team 1/away team 2 |
2.67
|
|
2.5
|
Avg. goals home team 1/away team 2 |
2.17
|
|
0.67
|
Avg. goals conceded home team 1/away team 2 |
0.5
|
France vs Spain BTTS tips
No
Probability: 59.38%|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| France | stat | Spain |
|
0 %
|
BTTS: No |
17 %
|
|
33 %
|
BTTS: Yes |
17 %
|
|
0 %
|
BTTS: No, home team 1/away team 2 |
17 %
|
|
50 %
|
BTTS: Yes, home team 1/away team 2 |
17 %
|
France vs Spain prediction for World Cup match on 14/07/2026:
Based on our exclusive Wincomparator algorithm ⭐, here are the expected results for this match:
- France win: 40.72% chance – best odds of 1001 at Betway.
- Draw 10.78% chance – highest odds of 151 at Betway.
- Spain win: 48.5% chance – best odds of 3.35 at 1xbet.
France vs Spain Form
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