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Carabao Cup Betting Tips from our Experts


Manchester United are the current holders of the Carabao Cup after defeating Newcastle in the final by a score of 2-0. The victory was United's sixth triumph in this competition, placing them third all-time behind Manchester City (8 EFL Cups) and Liverpool (9). It was a significant tournament as it was the first major piece of sliverware that Manchester United have won since last winning the Carabao Cup in the 2016/17 season. It also provided a preview of what might just become a regular occurance with the now flush-with-cash Newcastle becoming a major force. Keep it tuned to this page for free tips from our betting experts! We'll be covering matches from the start of the first round on 8 August 2023 all the way to the final being played 25 February 2024. It's sure to be another can't miss event!

Carabao Cup predicitons

The English Football League (EFL) Cup, referred to as the Carabao Cup for sponsorship reasons, is widely considered to be the third most prestigious competition in England behind the Premier League and the FA Cup. The tournament was founded in 1960 and features 92 clubs from the top four levels of the EFL - the Premier League, the Championship, League 1 and League 2. The League Cup is an excellent choice for bettors looking for a domestic knockout competition to wager on. Be sure to utilize Wincomparator to find the best odds from the biggest bookmakers, and a live streaming service for play-by-play live action from the games.

Check out Carabao Cup betting at bet365!


The Carabao Cup trophy


As is the case with many domestic cup competitions these days, clubs tend to play weakened line-ups for this competition. Often, the side that is chosen is almost completely different from that made for the last league fixture. This doesn't just apply to Premier League sides, but also those in the lower divisions. However, slightly stronger line-ups may be chosen when it comes to the latter stages of the competition and that should be expected going forward from this point on. 

That being said, it is still the Premier League clubs that dominate the competition with the country's strongest clubs in particular proving to have a stranglehold over this trophy in recent years. In fact, you would have to go back to 2013 for the last time a club other than Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United or Chelsea lifted the trophy and only three times in the last 20 years has a team outside the traditional 'big six' been crowned champions. Last season saw some surprising results and unexpected teams making deep runs as many of the top teams were drawn against one another. Two of the final four teams were in the relegation zone at the time of their semi-final fixtures! Southampton would ultimately go on to be relegated while Nottingham Forest would escape the drop.

It is a good idea to look at the line-ups that are named for ties, so leave your bets late. Not every club will name a strong squad and upsets are bound to happen. This was the case in last season's campaign with the likes of Blackburn overcoming West Ham in the third round, Charlton defeating Brighton in the round of 16 and Southampton knocking off Manchester City in the quarter-final. The 2023/24 Carabao Cup has already produced a pair of upsets with Tottenham and Leeds both being eliminated in the second round.

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Before placing your bets for the coming Carabao Cup campaign, there are a few interesting statistics to keep in mind which could assist towards your predictions. Perhaps the most notable is decrease in home field advantage that occurred in the 2022/23 edition of the competition. Through the 92 total matches, the home team won 43% of the time while the away team was victorious in 38% of fixtures. This is a dropoff from the previous Premier League season which saw the home team win 48% of the time and the away team win just 29% of the fixtures. In fact, the numbers are slightly more in line with the 2022/23 Championship season which finished with 41% of home victories and 32% of away wins.

It could also be helpful to point out the decrease in average total goals scored per match when compared to the English Premier League, likely being down to the presence of lower quality sides taking part in the competition. The 2022/23 Carabao Cup averaged 2.59 goals per match which is a fair bit lower than the 2.85 goals per game average that the country's top flight pulled in last year. Both teams found the back of the net 40% of the time in the most recent iteration of the competition which ranks it significantly lower than all four individual divisions in the English Football League so far this season. 

The most common halftime scoreline in the most recent Carabao Cup campaign was 0-0, which has occured in a third of all matches at 33.3% (31 times). A 2-0 victory for the home team was the most common result, occuring in 15.1% of fixtures (14 times), while a 1-0 home win was the second most common full time result at 9.7% (9 times). These statistics, along with the lower average goals and both teams to score numbers, point to a more conservative game plan being implemented by teams, at least in the earlier phases. 

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Marcus Rashford celebrates his goal in the Carabao Cup final

  • First round - Begins Tuesday, 8 August
  • Second round (12 Premier League clubs enter) - Begins 28 August
  • Third round (remaining eight Premier League clubs enter) - Begins 26 September
  • Semi-finals (two-legged fixtures) - First leg 8 January 2024, second leg 22 January 2024
  • Final - 25 February 2024

Make your Carabao Cup selections at bet365


Here are the most recent betting odds for which team will lift the 2023/24 Carabao Cup (top 20 teams):

  • Manchester City - 4.00
  • Manchester United - 8.00
  • Liverpool - 8.00
  • Arsenal - 8.00
  • Chelsea - 9.00
  • Newcastle - 11.00
  • Brighton - 11.00
  • Aston Villa - 15.00
  • West Ham - 19.00
  • Brentford - 34.00
  • Crystal Palace - 34.00
  • Fulham - 34.00
  • Burnley - 41.00
  • Wolves - 41.00
  • Everton - 41.00
  • Bournemouth - 51.00
  • Leicester City - 51.00
  • Middlesbrough - 67.00
  • Stoke City - 67.00
  • Norwich - 81.00

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Winner:  Manchester United won the Carabao Cup.

Final:   The Red Devils beat Newcastle United by a score of 2-0 with goals from Casemiro and Marcus Rashford

Bet on the Carabao Cup winners at bet365

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