Carabao Cup Betting Tips from our Experts

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THE 2022/23 CARABAO CUP

Liverpool are the current Carabao Cup holders but lost out to Manchester City in the 2022/23 round of 16. City themselves lost in the quarter finals of the English Football League Cup (sponsored by Carabao) in the last eight, being beaten by Southampton. The semi-finals see Manchester United host Nottingham Forest, while Southampton play Newcastle United. Both ties are to be played over two legs. Our betting experts will produce free tips for the final rounds of the 2022/23 EFL Cup as the competition starts to heat up.

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The English Football League (EFL) Cup, now called the Carabao Cup, follows the Premier League and the FA Cup as one of the most respected domestic football competitions in England. Founded in 1960, the League Cup is open to a total of 92 clubs from the top four levels of the EFL - the Premier League, the Championship, League 1 and League 2. The League Cup is a very popular tournament to bet on, and Wincomparator can provide the best odds from the biggest bookmakers, and a live streaming service for play-by-play live action from the games.

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CARABAO CUP BETTING TIPS: THE FACTS TO KNOW

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LOOK AT THE LINE-UPS

As is the case with many domestic cup competitions these days, clubs tend to play weakened line-ups for this competition. Often, the side that is chosen is almost completely different from that made for the last league fixture. This doesn't just apply to Premier League sides, but also those in the lower divisions. However, slightly stronger line-ups may be chosen when it comes to the latter stages of the competition and that should be expected going forward from this point on.

That being said, it is still the Premier League clubs that dominate the competition with the country's strongest clubs in particular proving to have a stranglehold over this trophy in recent years. In fact, you would have to go back to 2013 for the last time a club other than Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United or Chelsea lifted the trophy and only three times in the last 20 years has a team outside the traditional 'big six' been crowned champions. This season has seen some surprising results and the draws seeing top teams face each other. Two of the teams in the last four are also in the relegation zone!

It is a good idea to look at the line-ups that are named for ties, so leave your bets late. Not every club will name a strong squad and upsets will happen. This was the case in the third round of the competition with Brighton defeating Arsenal at home, Nottingham Forest defeating Tottenham and Blackburn overcoming West Ham. It carried over into the round of 16 which saw League One side Charlton defeat Premier League club Brighton to make the quarter-finals. No sides outside of the Premier League have made it into the semi-finals.

KEY STATISTICS AFTER THE LAST 16

Before placing your bets for the remaining Carabao Cup matches, there are a few interesting statistics to keep in mind which could assist towards your predictions. Perhaps the most notable is decrease in home field advantage that throughout the 2022/23 edition of the competition. Through 84 matches so far, the home team has won 40% of the time while the away team has been victorious in 39% of fixtures.

It could also be helpful to point out the decrease in average total goals scored per match when compared to the English Premier League, likely being down to the presence of lower quality sides taking part in the competition. The Carabao Cup has averaged 2.62 goals per match ahead of the quarter final matchups which is a fair bit lower than the 2.90 goals per game average that the country's top flight is pulling in. Both teams have found the back of the net 42% of the time in this competition which ranks it lower than all four individual divisions in the English Football League so far this season.

The most common halftime scoreline in the Carabao Cup so far this campaign has been 0-0, which has occured in a third of all matches at 33.3% (28 times). A 2-0 victory for the home team is the most common result, occuring in 11.9% of fixtures (10 times), while a goalless draw is the third most common full time result at 8.3% (7 times). These statistics, along with the lower average goals and both teams to score numbers, point to a more conservative game plan being implemented by teams, at least in the earlier phases.

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