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NFL Betting Tips from our Experts

National Football League Prediction 2023/24

NFL Predictions 23-24

The NFL is the most popular sport in the United States and has seen consistent growth worldwide. It attracts some of the highest betting action of the year, especially in its playoff and championship games. The league consists of 32 teams divided into two conferences: the American Football Conference (referred to as the AFC) and the National Football Conference (NFC). Within these two conferences teams are again divided into four divisions of four teams, each of which consist of: AFC/NFC North, South, West and East. The regular season is 18 weeks and sees each team play 17 games with one week off (referred to as a bye-week). Divisions play a role in a team’s scheduling as they will face-off against their division rivals twice a season, once home and once away. The typical NFL season starts in September and sees the majority of its games being played on Sunday, with one Thursday game and one Monday game also included.

After the regular season, the top 14 teams (seven from each conference) enter into a single-elimination playoff beginning in the middle of January. Teams compete in the regular season to win a higher seeding for the playoffs which can hold advantages such as a first round bye-week or home field advantage in the playoffs. In total, each conference plays three rounds of playoff games to decide the winners and the two remaining teams take part in the Super Bowl, the league’s championship game which takes place at a predetermined stadium on the 12th of February, 2023. 

The Kansas City Chiefs are the reigning NFL champions after defeating the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35 in a thrilling Super Bowl LVII. Led by the star quarterback and current MVP Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs have opened as the betting favorites to reclaim their crown in the 2023/24 season. However, teams such as the Bills, Bengals, 49ers and, of course, the Eagles will provide stiff opposition. Not since the 2004/05 Patriots has a team managed to win back-to-back Super Bowls, can the Chiefs be the next to do it? Be sure to check in with our NFL results page during the regular season to keep up with the latest scores!

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NFL Key Statistics

Take a look at some of the most interesting statistics from the completed 2022/23 season. These are sure to help you when formulating your bets for the 2023/24 campaign!

  • The average points scored per team across all 32 squads was 21.87 in the 2022/23 season.
  • There was an average of 43.73 points scored per game last season.
  • 18 of the 32 teams last season saw their final average winning margin fall between +3.0 and -3.0 points.
  • The New York Giants were the best team against the spread (including postseason) in 2022/23 with a record of 14-5 (73.7% cover rate).
  • The Detroit Lions (70.6%) and the Cincinnati Bengals (68.4%) were second and third, respectively, in spread cover percentage.
  • 44.3% (248 of 560) of games last season, including the postseason, finished over the posted points total.
  • 55.7% (312 of 560) of games last season finished under the posted total.
  • The Chiefs were the league’s highest scoring team last season with an average of 29.2 points per game.
  • The Broncos were the lowest scoring team at just 16.9 points per game.
  • The Vikings finished with the highest “over” percentage in the league (66.7%) with 12 of their 18 games eclipsing the posted total.
  • The Titans and the Jets were tied for the lowest “over” percentage (29.4%) with just five of their 17 games going over.

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NFL: Our Free Prediction for the 2023/24 Season

Betting advices NFL season 23-24

The San Francisco 49ers are looking set for another strong year following an excellent 13-4 regular season in 2022/23. The Niners would go on to make it to the NFC Championship game, ultimately losing 31-7 to the Eagles. San Francisco have a lot going for them this time around as they enter the year as the bookmakers third-favorites to lift the Vince Lombardi trophy. They have arguably the most complete supporting cast around the quarterback position and possess one of the very top defenses in the NFL. Additionally, the 49ers look to have uncovered a gem last season with the emergence of "Mr. Irrelevant" (due to being the last selected player in the NFL Draft) Brock Purdy. The 23-year-old is yet to lose a game in which he finishes (6-0 last season) and put up impressive numbers of 13 touchdowns and only four interceptions. San Fran may well have gone on to the Super Bowl if Purdy hadn't been knocked out of the NFC Championship game early on, forcing the 49ers to turn to Josh Johnson. The NFL can be cruel at times as Johnson would also have to leave the game due to injury.

Head coach Kyle Shanahan clearly thinks he has his future QB in Purdy and is going all-in on the former Iowa State Cyclone. If Purdy can pick up where he left off last season, then this 49ers team could very well become the Super Bowl frontrunners as we approach the postseason. We see a good amount of value at roughly 10-1 on our money in backing Shanahan and Purdy to deliver the goods together. Therefore, we're going with the San Francisco 49ers to win Super Bowl LVIII. Head over to our NFL betting odds page to see the latest bookmaker odds!

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2022/23 Season Recap

Super Bowl winners: Kansas City Chiefs

Runner-up (NFC Champions): Philadelphia Eagles

NFL MVP: Patrick Mahomes

Super Bowl MVP: Patrick Mahomes

Best regular season record: Chiefs and Eagles (both 14-3)

Worst regular season record: Chicago Bears (3-14)

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Odds to win Super Bowl LVIII

  • Kansas City Chiefs - 7.50
  • Philadelphia Eagles - 8.50
  • San Francisco 49ers - 8.50
  • Buffalo Bills - 11.00
  • Dallas Cowboys - 11.00
  • Cincinnati Bengals - 13.00
  • Baltimore Ravens - 17.00
  • Miami Dolphins - 17.00
  • Detroit Lions - 17.00
  • Cleveland Browns - 23.00
  • Jacksonville Jaguars - 26.00
  • Los Angeles Chargers - 29.00
  • New Orleans Saints - 34.00
  • Green Bay Packers - 41.00
  • Seattle Seahawks - 41.00
  • Atlanta Falcons - 51.00
  • New York Jets - 51.00
  • Pittsburgh Steelers - 51.00
  • Minnesota Vikings - 51.00
  • Los Angeles Rams - 61.00
  • Denver Broncos - 61.00
  • Las Vegas Raiders  61.00
  • New York Giants - 71.00
  • New England Patriots - 81.00
  • Tampa Bay Bucs - 81.00
  • Tennessee Titans - 81.00
  • Washington Commanders - 81.00
  • Chicago Bears - 81.00
  • Carolina Panthers - 81.00
  • Indianapolis Colts - 151.00
  • Houston Texans - 201.00
  • Arizona Cardinals - 251.00

Odds provided by Bet365

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