Exclusive offer
Stake
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
2
- 0
World - World Cup
11/06/2026
14:00
Day 1
Mexico
World - World Cup
11/06/2026
14:00
Day 1
End
2
- 0
Half-time
1
- 0
South Africa
Mexico
1.46
Draw
4.55
South Africa
8.4
Mexico vs South Africa prediction, World Cup
Stadium
Mexico City Stadium
Capacity
80824 seats
Referee
Wilton Pereira Sampaio
Mexico
South Africa
Match End
C. Montes
90+2'
84'
T. Zwane
direct_red
A. Vega
J. Quinones
79'
77'
O. Appollis
A. Modiba
76'
E. Makgopa
I. Rayners
E. Alvarez
E. Lira
76'
A. Gonzalez
R. Jimenez
76'
74'
N. Sibisi
R. Jimenez
R. Alvarado
67'
G. Mora
A. Fidalgo
66'
L. Chavez
B. Gutierrez
66'
61'
T. Zwane
J. Adams
56'
T. Mbatha
L. Foster
50'
S. Sithole
direct_red
Half-time
B. Gutierrez
23'
17'
T. Mokoena
J. Quinones
E. Lira
9'
Match Start
Mexico vs South Africa Stats
61
Possession (%)
39
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
3
Corners
1
11
Free Kicks
11
12
Fouls
11
1
Yellow card
2
1
Red card
2
11
Goal opportunities
2
1
Offside
1
6
Shots off target
1
5
Shots blocked
0
538
Passes attempted
341
491
Successful passes
285
47
Unsuccessful passes
56
26
Long passes attempted
30
13
Successful long passes
10
13
Unsuccessful long passes
20
15
Crosses attempted
9
5
Successful crosses
1
10
Unsuccessful crosses
8
4
Successful dribbles
1
23
Loss of possession
16
11
Fouled against
12
8
Tackles attempted
11
7
Successful tackles
9
1
Missed tackles
2
18
Defensive clearances
16
3
Interceptions
8
1
Defensive blocks
4
2
Saves
3
5
Clearances
8
0
Goalkeeper dives
1
2
Injuries
1
5
Substitutions
4
Mexico vs South Africa Last Lineups
4-1-2-3
R. Rangel
I. Reyes
C. Montes
J. Vasquez
J. Gallardo
E. Lira
A. Fidalgo
B. Gutierrez
R. Alvarado
R. Jimenez
J. Quinones
1
15
3
5
23
6
8
26
25
9
16
5-3-2
I. Rayners
L. Foster
T. Mokoena
S. Sithole
J. Adams
A. Modiba
M. Mbokazi
N. Sibisi
I. Okon
K. Mudau
R. Williams
15
9
4
13
23
6
14
19
21
20
1
Coach
Javier Aguirre
Substitutes
Goalkeeper
12 - C. Acevedo
13 - G. Ochoa
Defender
20 - M. Chavez
2 - J. Sanchez
4 - E. Alvarez
(E. Lira
76')
Midfielder
19 - G. Mora
(A. Fidalgo
66')
18 - O. Vargas
7 - L. Romo
17 - O. Pineda
24 - L. Chavez
(B. Gutierrez
66')
Forwards
11 - S. Gimenez
14 - A. Gonzalez
(R. Jimenez
76')
21 - C. Huerta
10 - A. Vega
(J. Quinones
79')
22 - G. Martinez
Goalkeeper
16 - S. Chaine
22 - R. Goss
Defender
26 - B. Cross
2 - T. Matuludi
3 - K. Ndamane
18 - S. Kabini
24 - O. Makhanya
Midfielder
( L. Foster
56')
5 - T. Mbatha
( J. Adams
61')
11 - T. Zwane
Forwards
( I. Rayners
76')
17 - E. Makgopa
( A. Modiba
77')
7 - O. Appollis
8 - T. Moremi
10 - R. Mofokeng
25 - K. Sebelebele
12 - T. Maseko
Mexico vs South Africa predictions summary
1X2
Mexico wins
Probability: 50.07%
1.46
Under/Over
-2.5
with a 62.74% chance.
1.72
BTTS
No
Probability: 71.43%
1.53
Mexico vs South Africa 1X2 prediction
The last time South Africa featured at a FIFA World Cup, their opening match was against Mexico. The same will be the case this time as the two nations start off the 2026 World Cup at Estadio Banorte in Group A, a pool that also has the Czech Republic and South Korea. This match is scheduled for Thursday 11th June. Mexico wrapped up their pre-tournament friendly matches with a huge win, beating Serbia 5-1. They featured in three friendly matches and won all, scoring a total of eight goals. The latest result means the World Cup co-hosts come into this game off the back of an eight-game unbeaten run. In that period, they only failed to win twice as they posted draws with the high ranking Belgium (1-1) and Portugal (0-0). With such momentum and as they enjoy support from the home crowds, Mexico should claim three points to start off their 2026 World Cup journey. This will be backed by the fact that South Africa lost three of their last seven matches and only posted one win in that run. In their four wins across the last 10 matches, the highest rankning nation that South Africa faced was Angola (89).
Mexico wins
Probability : 50.07%
1.46
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Mexico | stat | South Africa |
|
4
|
Wins |
1
|
|
0
|
Losses |
2
|
|
2
|
Draws |
3
|
|
4
|
Wins: home team 1/away team 2 |
1
|
|
0
|
Losses: home team 1/away team 2 |
2
|
|
2
|
Draws: home team 1/away team 2 |
3
|
Mexico vs South Africa under/over prediction
While they are coming off a huge win in their last match before their World Cup campaign starts, we don’t envision a high-scoring fixture here. Mexico thrashed Serbia 5-1 last time out, but that was only the second time in five matches that they managed more than a goal. That was against another African nation, Ghana, in a game that ended 2-0. Across the Mexicans’ last 15 matches, they only managed to score more than two goals five times. As four of their previous five matches ended with fewer than three goals, backing under 2.5 goals here could pass. Also, five of South Africa’s last nine matches produced under 2.5 goals.
-2.5
Probability: 62.74%
1.72
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Mexico | stat | South Africa |
|
2.5
|
Average goals per game |
2.5
|
|
2.17
|
Average goal scored |
1.17
|
|
0.33
|
Goals conceded per match |
1.33
|
|
67 %
|
Matches with -2.5 goals |
50 %
|
|
33 %
|
Matches with +2.5 goals |
50 %
|
|
2.5
|
Average goals home team 1/away team 2 |
2
|
|
2.17
|
Avg. goals home team 1/away team 2 |
1
|
|
0.33
|
Avg. goals conceded home team 1/away team 2 |
1
|
Mexico vs South Africa BTTS tips
In the run-up to the 2026 World Cup, Mexico have improved in a number of aspects. Key among them has been their defending. El Tri will be heading into their opening match of the 2026 competition, having kept clean sheets in eight of their latest 15 matches. Their defensive muscle has come out clearly in the last eight matches, of which they haven’t been beaten in any. In that run, they conceded just two goals, contributing six to the eight clean sheets they registered in 15 games. In this group, the hosts are arguably the strongest, and they will want to show it with a water-tight defence. For this match, therefore, we are backing a BTTS - No prediction.
Our prediction
No
Probability: 71.43%
1.53
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Mexico | stat | South Africa |
|
17 %
|
BTTS: No |
17 %
|
|
33 %
|
BTTS: Yes |
83 %
|
|
17 %
|
BTTS: No, home team 1/away team 2 |
17 %
|
|
33 %
|
BTTS: Yes, home team 1/away team 2 |
83 %
|
Mexico vs South Africa prediction for World Cup match on 11/06/2026:
Based on our exclusive Wincomparator algorithm ⭐, here are the expected results for this match:
- Mexico win: 50.07% chance – best odds of 1.47 at Shangrila.
- Draw 30.83% chance – highest odds of 81 at Betway.
- South Africa win: 19.1% chance – best odds of 501 at Betway.
Mexico vs South Africa Results
All
Home
Away
International Friendlies -
04 Jun
Mexico
5-1
Serbia
International Friendlies -
30 May
Mexico
1-0
Australia
International Friendlies -
22 May
Mexico
2-0
Ghana
International Friendlies -
31 Mar
Mexico
1-1
Belgium
International Friendlies -
28 Mar
Mexico
0-0
Portugal
International Friendlies -
25 Feb
Mexico
4-0
Iceland
International Friendlies -
04 Jun
Mexico
5-1
Serbia
International Friendlies -
30 May
Mexico
1-0
Australia
International Friendlies -
22 May
Mexico
2-0
Ghana
International Friendlies -
31 Mar
Mexico
1-1
Belgium
International Friendlies -
28 Mar
Mexico
0-0
Portugal
International Friendlies -
25 Feb
Mexico
4-0
Iceland
International Friendlies -
25 Jan
Bolivia
0-1
Mexico
International Friendlies -
22 Jan
Panama
0-1
Mexico
CONCACAF Gold Cup -
06 Jul
USA
1-2
Mexico
CONCACAF Gold Cup -
18 Jun
Suriname
0-2
Mexico
CONCACAF Nations League -
20 Mar
Canada
0-2
Mexico
International Friendlies -
21 Jan
River Plate
2-0
Mexico
International Friendlies -
06 Jun
Jamaica
1-1
South Africa
International Friendlies -
29 May
South Africa
0-0
Nicaragua
International Friendlies -
31 Mar
South Africa
1-2
Panama
International Friendlies -
27 Mar
South Africa
1-1
Panama
AFCON -
04 Jan
South Africa
1-2
Cameroon
AFCON -
29 Dec
Zimbabwe
2-3
South Africa
International Friendlies -
29 May
South Africa
0-0
Nicaragua
International Friendlies -
31 Mar
South Africa
1-2
Panama
International Friendlies -
27 Mar
South Africa
1-1
Panama
AFCON -
04 Jan
South Africa
1-2
Cameroon
AFCON -
22 Dec
South Africa
2-1
Angola
International Friendlies -
16 Dec
South Africa
1-0
Ghana B
International Friendlies -
06 Jun
Jamaica
1-1
South Africa
AFCON -
29 Dec
Zimbabwe
2-3
South Africa
AFCON -
26 Dec
Egypt
1-0
South Africa
World Cup -
10 Oct
Zimbabwe
0-0
South Africa
World Cup -
05 Sept
Lesotho
0-3
South Africa
African Nations Championship -
15 Aug
Niger
0-0
South Africa
Mexico vs South Africa Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Mexico
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
|
4
South Africa
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Mexico vs South Africa betting odds
Popular
Mexico - South Africa 1x2 Results
Under/Over 2.5 Goals in Mexico – South Africa Match
Both Teams To Score: Mexico v South Africa BTTS Odds
Mexico vs South Africa 1X2 Odds Comparison
Bookmaker
1
x
2
Bonus
1.42
4.3
7.5
€1000
1.45
4.42
8.68
$200
1.42
4.32
8.5
€150
1.41
4.46
8.3
€130
1.45
4.42
8.68
€122
1.46
4.55
8.4
See the offer
1.45
4.2
8
$4000
1.43
4.4
7.75
£20
1.44
4.63
8.65
$400
1.44
81
501
€100
1.44
4
8.5
£50
1.44
4.5
8.6
€100
1.44
29
34
€100
1.42
4.5
8
£30
1.47
4.15
7.8
€50
1.43
4.2
7.75
£30
Half-Time Winner Odds for Mexico vs South Africa
Bookmaker
1
x
2
Bonus
2.05
2.15
8
€1000
1.95
2.25
8.5
See the offer
2
2.04
9.5
$4000
1.95
2.15
6.75
£20
2.05
2.2
7.5
€100
2.02
2.18
7.7
€100
1.95
2.16
7
£30
2.02
2.18
7.3
€50
2.02
2.21
7.5
£30
Goal Spread +/- 2.5 Odds: Mexico vs South Africa
Bookmaker
-2.5
+2.5
Bonus
1.92
2.3
€1000
1.69
2.23
$200
1.66
2.23
€150
1.71
2.14
€130
1.69
2.23
€122
1.72
2.1
See the offer
1.62
2.18
$4000
1.61
2.15
£20
1.76
2.19
$400
1.29
3.1
€100
1.67
2.2
£50
2.29
1.66
€100
1.05
8
€100
1.63
2.23
£30
1.67
2.22
€50
1.64
2.22
£30
Goal Spread +/- 0.5 Odds: Mexico vs South Africa
Bookmaker
-0.5
+0.5
Bonus
9.2
1.08
€1000
8.51
1.08
$200
8.51
1.08
€122
9
1.07
See the offer
7.75
1.06
$4000
9
1.06
£20
8
1.08
€100
8.8
1.07
€100
9
1.05
£30
Goal Spread +/- 1.5 Odds: Mexico vs South Africa
Bookmaker
-1.5
+1.5
Bonus
2.9
1.42
€1000
2.93
1.43
$200
2.93
1.43
€122
3.2
1.36
See the offer
2.85
1.4
$4000
2.87
1.37
£20
2.75
1.44
€100
2.95
1.41
€100
2.9
1.38
£30
2.83
1.37
£30
Goal Spread +/- 3.5 Odds: Mexico vs South Africa
Bookmaker
-3.5
+3.5
Bonus
1.23
4.2
€1000
1.24
4.22
$200
1.22
4.53
€122
1.25
4
See the offer
1.2
4.2
$4000
1.21
4.1
£20
1.01
15
€100
1.22
4.35
€100
1.21
4.25
£30
1.18
4.2
£30
Goal Spread +/- 4.5 Odds: Mexico vs South Africa
Bookmaker
-4.5
+4.5
Bonus
1.08
8.74
$200
1.08
8.74
€122
1.08
8
See the offer
1.07
7.25
$4000
1.06
8.5
£20
1.07
8.5
€100
1.06
9.3
€100
1.05
9
£30
1.05
8
£30
Goal Spread +/- 5.5 Odds: Mexico vs South Africa
Bookmaker
-5.5
+5.5
Bonus
1.03
15.4
$200
1.02
16.7
€122
1.02
17
See the offer
1
1
$4000
1.01
18
£20
1.01
20
€100
Goal Spread +/- 6.5 Odds: Mexico vs South Africa
Bookmaker
-6.5
+6.5
Bonus
1.01
34
$200
1.01
34
€122
1
14
$4000
Mexico - South Africa Double Chance Odds
Bookmaker
1X
X2
12
Bonus
1.09
2.8
1.17
€1000
1.08
2.75
1.18
See the offer
1.1
2.75
1.25
$4000
1.09
2.75
1.2
£20
1.09
501
1.22
€100
1.06
2.86
1.22
€100
1.06
2.85
1.2
£30
1.11
2.77
€50
1.1
2.49
1.22
£30
Mexico vs South Africa Half-Time/Full-Time (HT/FT) Odds
Result
Bookmaker
Odds
Bonus
11
2.2
£20
1X
26
$4000
12
100
€100
X1
3.9
$4000
XX
6
£20
X2
17
See the offer
21
33
€100
2X
27
$4000
22
16
$4000
Mexico v South Africa: First Team To Score Odds
Bookmaker
1
no goal
2
Bonus
1.4
8
4.15
€1000
1.43
8.51
3.78
$200
1.43
8.51
3.78
€122
1.4
8.5
3.6
See the offer
1.32
9.5
3.95
$4000
1.35
8.75
3.9
£20
1.4
9
4.05
€100
1.36
9.5
4.1
£30
1.4
3.85
€50
1.4
9.5
3.5
£30
Draw No Bet: Mexico vs South Africa DNB Odds
Bookmaker
1
2
Bonus
1.14
5.75
€1000
1.14
5.5
See the offer
1.13
5.6
$4000
1.12
5.5
£20
1.11
101
€100
1.11
6
£50
1.12
6.4
€100
1.11
5.4
£30
1.14
5.1
€50
1.13
5.25
£30
BTTS Odds: Mexico against South Africa
Bookmaker
yes
no
Bonus
2.65
1.48
€1000
2.39
1.58
$200
2.53
1.53
€122
2.37
1.53
See the offer
2.3
1.57
$4000
2.5
1.46
£20
7.5
1.07
€100
2.52
1.5
€100
2.4
1.49
£30
2.53
1.5
£30
Mexico vs South Africa Odd/Even Total Goals Comparison
Bookmaker
odd
even
Bonus
1.85
1.9
€1000
1.87
1.87
$200
1.87
1.87
€122
1.9
1.95
See the offer
1.88
1.86
$4000
1.85
1.91
€100
1.92
1.89
€100
1.86
1.84
£30
1.85
1.85
£30
Mexico vs South Africa correct score odds
Result
Bookmaker
Odds
Bonus
0-0
9.5
£20
1-0
5.5
See the offer
2-0
6
See the offer
3-0
9.5
See the offer
4-0
151
£30
5-0
131
£30
6-0
201
£30
0-1
16
€100
1-1
13
£30
2-1
12
€100
3-1
126
£30
4-1
141
£30
5-1
101
£30
6-1
326
£30
0-2
53
€100
1-2
101
£30
2-2
126
€100
3-2
151
£30
4-2
151
£30
5-2
326
£30
6-2
900
€50
0-3
251
€1000
1-3
151
€1000
2-3
176
£30
3-3
301
£30
4-3
501
€1000
0-4
501
€1000
1-4
800
€50
2-4
800
€50
3-4
501
€1000
4-4
501
€1000
Other World Cup predictions
Uzbekistan
Ghana
Croatia
DR Congo
Canada
Qatar
Brazil
Haiti
Mexico
Korea Republic
Germany
23/06/2026, 12:00
Portugal
Vs
Uzbekistan
23/06/2026, 15:00
England
Vs
Ghana
23/06/2026, 18:00
Panama
Vs
Croatia
23/06/2026, 21:00
Colombia
Vs
DR Congo
24/06/2026, 14:00
Switzerland
Vs
Canada
24/06/2026, 14:00
Bosnia Herzegovina
Vs
Qatar
24/06/2026, 17:00
Scotland
Vs
Brazil
24/06/2026, 17:00
Morocco
Vs
Haiti
24/06/2026, 20:00
Czechia
Vs
Mexico
24/06/2026, 20:00
South Africa
Vs
Korea Republic
25/06/2026, 15:00
Ecuador
Vs
Germany
Please Gamble Responsibly
