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England FA Cup Predictions

Types of bets
FA Cup
England FA Cup
Melbet
1 4.8
Tonybet
X 4.1
Bwin
2 1.8
Prediction:
Probability: 61%
Unibet
1 2.05
BC Game
X 6.1
Tonybet
2 3.75
Prediction:
Probability: 43%
Tonybet
1 1.25
Unibet
X 7
Unibet
2 13
Prediction:
Probability: 47%
End (after pens)
Bet365
1 3
Tonybet
X 3.45
888Starz
2 2.62
Prediction:
Probability: 54%
Unibet
1 8
Tonybet
X 5.2
888Starz
2 1.43
Prediction:
Probability: 37%
Shangrila
1 1.08
Bet365
X 19
Tonybet
2 50
Prediction:
Probability: 57%
Bet365
1 1.76
Tonybet
X 4.4
Tonybet
2 4.4
Prediction:
Probability: 49%
End (after pens)
Bet365
1 3.8
Bet365
X 3.6
888Starz
2 2.19
Prediction:
Probability: 41%
Bwin
1 1.47
Unibet
X 4.8
Bet365
2 7
Prediction:
Probability: 46%
Unibet
1 6.75
Unibet
X 4.5
Tonybet
2 1.54
Prediction:
Probability: 41%

FA Cup Statistics (Football)

Match stats

Number of matches played 123
% home win 47.97%
% away win 38.21%
% halftime draws 13.82%
% halftime home wins 48.78%
% halftime away wins 21.95%
% halftime draws 29.27%

Goal stats

Goals 423
Average goals per match 3.44
Average home goals per match 1.98
Average away goals per match 1.46

Stats betting

% matches over 2.5 goals 69.92%
% matches under 2.5 goals 30.08%
BTTS 60.98%
Cleansheet 39.02%

Discipline stats

Yellow cards 443
Average yellow cards per match 3.6
Red cards 18
Average red cards per match 0.15

Other stats

Corners 1157
Average corners per match 9.41

FA Cup fixtures

16 May 07:00
Chelsea
Manchester City
0 1

How are our FA Cup predictions made?

FA Cup predictions

At Wincomparator, we've been predicting the FA Cup since 2008. Now, in 2026, we're bringing you our intelligent predictions, the result of years of research. Our special algorithm enables us to make reliable FA Cup predictions.

  • Our predictions are based on thousands of pieces of data
  • AI helps us to process the data
  • FA Cup odds are taken into account in the calculation
  • Our experts validate all of the FA Cup predictions generated by our tool

This allows us the ability to calculate the most likely outcome of an FA Cup match in June 2026.

Winner prediction: who won the FA Cup?

A 1-0 defeat to Crystal Palace in the 2024-25 FA Cup final brought an end to what had been a disastrous season overall for Manchester City and Pep Guardiola. It was only the second time under the Spanish manager that the Citizens finished a campaign without silverware and the first since his debut season at the club in 2016.

Expected to respond strongly the following year, City faced Chelsea in the 2026 FA Cup final. In a tense and tightly contested match, with neither side willing to leave space at the back, Manchester City eventually found the breakthrough with the only goal of the game. A superb backheel from Semenyo secured a second trophy of the season for Guardiola’s men.

With growing rumours suggesting this could be Guardiola’s final season in charge, the victory may well stand as one last gift from the Spanish genius to the Manchester City fans. Be sure to check back next season for our 2026-27 FA Cup prediction!

The impact of FA Cup statistics on your predictions

In our many years of predicting the FA Cup, one of the most important elements to keep in mind is the importance of statistics. Indeed, the role that statistics play when analysing a matchup is integral to the success of a sports bet. By taking them into account, along with the other key information (injuries, players, teams, fixtures, form, etc.), you'll have a much clearer idea of which types of bets you should favour along with which to avoid.

For example, if last year's figures are anything to go by, a Leyton Orient match is more likely to validate the "both teams to score" prediction (100% of matches last season). Compare this with the defending champions Crystal Palace, who saw BTTS come through in just 17% of their matches during their title-winning campaign.

Don't forget that the main figures and all the stats should be analysed before each bet on the FA Cup. To help you out with this, we offer you our stats table a little higher up on this page, so don't hesitate to make use of it.

FA Cup odds: how to use them to bet with bookmakers?

If there's one other thing to remember, it's that the odds offered by bookmakers are crucial to a good betting strategy. They reflect the probabilities of an outcome, and our algorithm obviously takes them into account in its calculations as well.

When planning your FA Cup bets, you should ask yourself this question: are the odds I want to bet a true reflection of the outcome of the match? This will help you to determine if the potential gains are worth the stake, or if you are taking too big of a risk.

  • For example, you could see West Ham having trouble when they take on Brighton, but the sites offer odds of 1.60 for the Hammers to win.
    Using the formula (1/quote) x 100, you can calculate the probability of success for the Londoners as estimated by the bookmakers, in this case 62.5%.
    If you're confident in your analysis and don't see West Ham winning, then avoid a bet. It would be a shame to risk €10, for example, to win “only” €6. Likewise, you might want to consider Brighton double chance or even to win straight up if you think there is value there.
  • Reversing the situation now, you can see Aston Villa getting the win when they take on Manchester United.
    The bookmakers are offering odds of 2.20 for this bet, which gives an implied probability of 45.5%. 
    Here, the odds look quite good. Why? Are the bookmakers underestimating the Villains? If you believe that to be the case, then the potential winnings would be well worth the risk taken for this bet!

As you can see, the odds offered by online bookmakers for the FA Cup are not to be overlooked and should always be taken into account. This is true not only for the FA Cup, but also for any other football predictions!

Guidelines for reliable FA Cup predictions

FA Cup predictions - Football - England

The FA Cup predictions on our site are based on over a hundred different parameters. This is a real asset if you want to have the best possible chance at winning your next bets.

Of course, we always recommend that you also carry out your own analysis before placing your bets. To assist you with this, our experts have come up with a few key tips to look out for. These are especially useful for punters who are just starting out.

1. Understand the psychological context of an FA Cup match

Focusing on the psychological side of the match you want to bet on is also very important if you want to make a good prediction. A number of factors need to be taken into account in English football: whether or not there is a rivalry between the clubs, the various statements made by players and/or coaches before the match, a tense final encounter or a problem that has arisen, a major issue at stake in the match, etc. There are a huge number of things that can have a mental impact on teams and players, and this factor is certainly not to be overlooked.

If you're a fan of goal predictions, such as "both teams score" or Over 2.5 on the FA Cup, for example, you'll need to be wary of high-pressure fixtures (such as a semi-final match at Wembley between two of the top favourites to win the competition) which can be less prolific in terms of goals. Look at how important the game is to each club. A League Two club hosting one of the Premier League big boys is going to be a monumental moment for their players and fans, but for the Premier League club, it won't be as important.

2. Take account of rivalries in England

In England more than anywhere else, there are many rivalries between clubs. Liverpool vs Manchester United, City vs Manchester United, Arsenal vs Tottenham, Chelsea vs Arsenal, Liverpool vs Everton... These are just a few of the many examples, and there are many other classics and derbies that could have been listed.

This is particularly the case in London, where many clubs are part of the English elite. This is a very important aspect to take into account when betting on the FA Cup as there is a special atmosphere when two major rivals meet in the world's oldest football competition.

In the FA Cup especially, there might be major rivals that are seperated by different divisions. This competition gives those teams a chance to face off (such as West Ham and Millwall), if they are lucky enough to draw one another. This has a big influence on the clubs and players, who obviously want to beat their great rivals and avoid alienating their own fans. It's not uncommon to see a struggling and far-from-favourite club beat a rival in these situations!

3. Adjust your FA Cup bets according to team line-ups

The FA Cup is a unique competition as the biggest teams in England often don't take the early rounds as seriously compared to the later rounds. This is for a few reasons but mostly because they are often contending with congested fixture lists.

Therefore, it's crucial that you confirm team line-ups before placing your FA Cup bets. To do this, simply wait until around an hour before kickoff. You'll then find the lineups posted online on a number of different sites.

Why is this important? You might bet on Manchester City to easily beat Ipswich Town away from home in the FA Cup third round, expecting the usual big-hitters to be named in the starting 11. However, City might have an important Premier League or Champions League fixture coming up directly after this, resulting in the manager deciding to fully rotate his squad. While the Citizens will still be favourites to win, you will likely get a much better price on a Man City win in this scenario if you had waited until the line-ups were confirmed.

Our opinion on the difficulty of FA Cup betting

In terms of cup competitions, the FA Cup can be particularly tricky to predict. There is a reason why this competition is synonymous with the phrase "giant-killing", as every season there seems to be a few major upsets (e.g. a lower division side knocking off a higher division club). With the special atmosphere that the FA Cup produces, even the lower division clubs clubs can be a major threat, especially if they are playing at home.

But betting on the FA Cup and making a profit is not impossible, far from it. At Wincomparator, we put you in the best possible position with our expert predictions, FA Cup stats and the best odds to bet on.

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