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World - World Cup
12/06/2026
20:00
Day 1
USA
World - World Cup
12/06/2026
20:00
Day 1
Paraguay
USA vs Paraguay prediction, World Cup
USA
Paraguay
USA vs Paraguay Stats
USA vs Paraguay Last Lineups
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Substitutes
USA vs Paraguay predictions summary
USA vs Paraguay 1X2 prediction
The USA will begin their 2026 World Cup quest with a match against Paraguay in Group D this Saturday at the SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Coming off a 2-1 loss against Germany in their final friendly match, the co-hosts will be keen on a strong start. That will be the least of expectations by home fans, and our prediction here will back that, as the USA rarely struggles against such teams as Paraguay. Actually, in their latest three meetings with Paraguay, the Stars and Stripes claimed straight wins. While this match marks the eighth meeting between the two nations, it will be the second at a World Cup tournament. They first met at the inaugural competition back in 1930 as the USA claimed a 3-0 win. Paraguay’s only warmup match in the current international window was against Nicaragua. They posted a 4-0 win, registering a third victory in four outings. They have suffered three defeats in their last six matches, though, and among the teams to have beaten them was the USA. That was in a 2-1 reversal, in a friendly international, back in November. With this run, we are backing the USA to claim the three points on offer.
USA wins
Probability : 52.98%
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| USA | stat | Paraguay |
|
3
|
Wins |
3
|
|
3
|
Losses |
3
|
|
3
|
Wins: home team 1/away team 2 |
3
|
|
3
|
Losses: home team 1/away team 2 |
3
|
|
0
|
Draws: home team 1/away team 2 |
0
|
USA vs Paraguay under/over prediction
Paraguay had a good run in the CONMEBOL qualifiers, and as they resume competitive action, they will be keen on a strong start. In their qualification run, which ended with a ticket to this tournament, Paraguay also had the joint second-best defensive output. They conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match in the 18 outings, seeing them finish level on points with bigwigs Brazil, Uruguay, and Colombia. Twice in their three matches this year, Paraguay kept clean sheets, only conceding in a 2-1 loss to African giants Morocco. None of their last four competitive matches yielded more than two goals, and while they were solid in defence, they lacked a cutting edge in attack. Paraguay failed to score in two of their last four competitive matches, and in three of them, they had an xG of below 1.00. It will be tougher this time with their star forward Julio Enciso injured and doubtful for this match. As for the USA, while their recent matches have been high-scoring, twice in the four games they played this year, their xG was below 1.00. With such numbers, we are backing under 2.5 goals in this encounter.
+2.5
Probability: 63.11%
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| USA | stat | Paraguay |
|
4.33
|
Average goals per game |
2.67
|
|
2.17
|
Average goal scored |
1.5
|
|
2.17
|
Goals conceded per match |
1.17
|
|
17 %
|
Matches with -2.5 goals |
33 %
|
|
83 %
|
Matches with +2.5 goals |
67 %
|
|
4.33
|
Average goals home team 1/away team 2 |
2.17
|
|
2.17
|
Avg. goals home team 1/away team 2 |
1.83
|
|
2.17
|
Avg. goals conceded home team 1/away team 2 |
0.33
|
USA vs Paraguay BTTS tips
Yes
Probability: 64.58%
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| USA | stat | Paraguay |
|
83 %
|
BTTS: Yes |
50 %
|
|
0 %
|
BTTS: No, home team 1/away team 2 |
0 %
|
|
83 %
|
BTTS: Yes, home team 1/away team 2 |
50 %
|
USA vs Paraguay prediction for World Cup match on 12/06/2026:
Based on our exclusive Wincomparator algorithm ⭐, here are the expected results for this match:
- USA win: 52.98% chance – best odds of 2.16 at 888Starz.
- Draw 12.32% chance – highest odds of 151 at Betway.
- Paraguay win: 34.71% chance – best odds of 1001 at Betway.
USA vs Paraguay Results
Head to Head: USA vs Paraguay H2H Stats
USA vs Paraguay Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
USA
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
|
4
Paraguay
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
USA vs Paraguay betting odds
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