Wimbledon Predictions & Odds

How are our Wimbledon predictions made?

Wimbledon Predictions 2026 - Tennis

At Wincomparator, we've been predicting Wimbledon since 2008. Now, in 2026, we're bringing you our intelligent predictions, the result of years of research. For Wimbledon, our predictions are generated using our own algorithm. Our analyses are based on:

Our predictions are based on thousands of pieces of data
AI helps us to process the data
The odds on the Wimbledon are taken into account in the calculation
Our experts validate all the Wimbledon predictions generated by our tool

We currently have the ability to calculate the most likely outcome of a Wimbledon match, helping you with your tennis predictions in September 2026.

Winner prediction: who do we expect to win Wimbledon?

Wimbledon Winner prediction

Recently, conversations about Grand Slam titles have centred mainly on two names: Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz. Both have already triumphed at Wimbledon and are now locked in a fierce battle for every tournament.

Last year, Carlos Alcaraz arrived on the London grass courts with two finals victories over Novak Djokovic to his name. He was well on his way to adding a third title to his collection, but that was without counting on his main rival, Jannik Sinner, who took his revenge after losing the final at Wimbledon a few weeks earlier.

In 2026, the rivalry between the two players was still very much alive, but one factor is different for the time being: Carlos Alcaraz has been injured since Barcelona and did not play at Wimbledon. This leaves the door open for the world number one to go and claim the Grand Slam title that’s still missing from his collection, but whilst it looked as though the Spaniard might be back in time for Wimbledon, that will not be the case after all. Jannik Sinner therefore appears, for the time being, to be a cut above the rest in terms of ability, even if his early exit at Wimbledon has shaken some certainties. Our Wimbledon prediction: Jannik Sinner to win!

Who will win Wimbledon? The odds on the favourites for the title

Jannik Sinner - 1.57
Novak Djokovic - 5.50
Alexander Zverev - 9.00
Taylor Fritz - 11.00
Felix Auger-Aliassime - 15.00
Alex De Minaur - 19.00
Grigor Dimitrov - 26.00
Alexander Bublik - 29.00
Flavio Cobolli - 51.00
Jiri Lehecka - 67.00
Jan-Lennard Struff - 101.00
Arthur Fery - 151.00

These odds, taken from the Bet365 website, show that the title will be hotly contested and that winning the Wimbledon is anything but easy. Would you like to bet on the future winner or find out the odds on all the players? Go to Bet365.com!

The impact of Wimbledon statistics on your predictions

From the very beginning, we have made it a priority to incorporate statistics into our sports betting, as we recognise how important they are to the success of our Wimbledon predictions. The best bookmakers adjust their odds and betting markets based on the playing surface, the players’ form, the context of the match and the fixture list.

Statistically speaking, therefore, if Jannik Sinner wins the first set against Carlos Alcaraz, he is likely to win the match overall. We draw this conclusion from data from the 2025 Wimbledon tournament, as the winner of the match was the player who won the first set in 80 per cent of cases – that is, 8 out of 10 matches. Conversely, comebacks are much rarer on the London grass, as only 3% of matches saw a comeback from 0-2 down to 3-2.

Before betting on Wimbledon, make sure you’ve taken the key data from the previous year into account, so you can better understand the trends in alternative bets that are likely to come in. Our table above will help you refine your choices for Wimbledon 2026.

Wimbledon odds: how to use them to bet with bookmakers?

If there's one other thing to remember, it's that the odds offered by operators are also crucial to a good betting strategy. It's important to understand that they reflect the probabilities of an outcome, and our algorithm obviously takes them into account in its calculations.

If you're planning to bet on a Wimbledon match, ask yourself this question: are the odds I want to try really attractive? In other words: are the potential gains worth the stake? Or am I taking too big a risk?

For example, you might predict that Jannik Sinner will edge out Carlos Alcaraz in the final, though not without a struggle. If the bookmakers are offering odds of 1.40 in favour of Sinner, it’s best not to take it. Applying the formula (1/odds) x 100, the implied probability is 71.4%, which is quite high. If your own assessment is not as optimistic about the Italian’s victory, it is therefore not profitable to take this bet. Don’t risk €10 to win just €4 in profit.
Another scenario: you see Jack Draper comfortably dominating his opponent in the quarter-finals. The odds on offer are 1.80, representing a 55.6 per cent probability in favour of the Englishman. The odds then become attractive, as the potential return outweighs the risk.

You should therefore always analyse the odds before betting on Wimbledon. They may confirm your choices or contradict them. So avoid unprofitable bets and learn to spot opportunities where the risk-reward ratio is in your favour.

Guidelines for reliable Wimbledon predictions

Wimbledon 2026 prediction

At Wincomparator, our tennis experts analyse hundreds of factors to provide you with reliable predictions for the Wimbledon. You can use these as a solid foundation to maximise your chances of success.

However, it is advisable to carry out your own analysis as well. Here are three essential tips from our experts that can be of great help if you are new to tennis betting.

1. Understand the impact of the surface

In tennis, the tournament surface plays a key role in players’ performances. Each playing style adapts more or less easily to the grass at Wimbledon.

At Wincomparator, we consider the playing surface to be a key factor in preparing our Wimbledon predictions. Grass is not the most common surface and therefore requires players to be highly adaptable. It’s hard not to favour players with a track record on this surface (Stuttgart, London, Halle, Wimbledon) when betting on the English Grand Slam.

2. Analyse the players’ fitness and freshness

Wimbledon comes in the second half of the players’ season. So be sure to analyse the players’ form carefully before betting on Wimbledon. The change in surface following the clay-court season can cause some physical problems for players. We advise you to keep a close eye on things in the weeks leading up to the tournament to spot any signs of injury and see who is performing better on grass this year.

A player who has played back-to-back tournaments in Stuttgart and Halle, reaching the semi-finals on both occasions, may well be slightly less fresh than their opponents by the time they arrive at Wimbledon. Bear this in mind when placing your bets on the matches.

3. Prioritise favourites over outsiders

In the past, our experts have observed that favourites tend to win more often at Grand Slams than underdogs. Indeed, the top players on the ATP Tour take these four tournaments very seriously every year.

So don’t be fooled by tempting odds: the favourites always end up winning at Wimbledon. The proof is in the facts: from 2003 to 2022, the grass-court titles were won exclusively by the Big Four, before the Sinner-Alcaraz rivalry took over. So don’t hesitate to bet on the favourites – it’s the most reliable tip for the Wimbledon!

Our opinion on the difficulty of Wimbledon betting

After analyzing Wimbledon matches year in, year out, we know that it is not the most unpredictable tournament. As one of the four Grand Slam tournaments, the world’s best players compete fiercely to win it.

Although surprises can always happen, they are still rare. Betting on Wimbledon remains relatively straightforward, thanks to a thorough analysis of form, head-to-head records and playing style.

ATP Wimbledon Predictions

ATP Wimbledon Championships fixtures