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ATP Italian Open Predictions

ATP Italian Open
ATP ATP Italian Open
Italy Men Singles - 2026 Rome, Italy
Bwin
1 1.15
William Hill
2 6.5
Prediction:
Probability: 74%
Bwin
1 1.07
Unibet
2 11
Prediction:
Probability: 82%
Shangrila
1 1.42
Betwinner
2 3.36
Prediction:
Probability: 68%
Shangrila
1 3.7
Unibet
2 1.35
Prediction:
Probability: 63%
Melbet
1 1.06
Unibet
2 15
Prediction:
Probability: 80%
Betway
1 1.44
Bwin
2 2.9
Prediction:
Probability: 63%
Unibet
1 1.23
Betwinner
2 4.4
Prediction:
Probability: 68%
Betwinner
1 2.36
Bwin
2 1.67
Prediction:
Probability: 51%
Betwinner
1 1.58
Betway
2 2.6
Prediction:
Probability: 69%
Unibet
1 1.34
Tonybet
2 3.55
Prediction:
Probability: 61%

ATP Italian Open fixtures

17 May 11:15
Jannik Sinner
Casper Ruud
2 0

How are our Italian Open predictions made?

Rome Masters 2026

At Wincomparator, we've been predicting the Italian Open since 2008. Now, in 2026, we're bringing you our intelligent predictions, the result of years of research. Our special algorithm enables us to make reliable Rome Masters predictions.

  • Our predictions are based on thousands of pieces of data
  • AI helps us to process the data
  • The odds on the Italian Open are taken into account in the calculation
  • Our experts validate all the Italian Open predictions generated by our tool

We currently have the ability to calculate the most likely outcome of a Italian Open match, helping you with your tennis predictions in June 2026.

Winner prediction: who do we expect to win the Italian Open?

Last year’s winner, Carlos Alcaraz, is absent this year due to a wrist injury. Alongside Sinner, the ATP Rome draw features some of the world’s top clay-court talents, including Ruud, Zverev and Djokovic. Once again, there will be plenty to watch in the Italian capital, and the competition looks set to be fierce to succeed last year’s winner, Alcaraz.

The Italian is therefore our favourite to predict at the Rome tournament. Our ATP Rome 2026 prediction: Sinner wins!

Who will win the Italian Open? The odds on the favourites for the title

  • Jannik Sinner - 1.35
  • Alexander Zverev - 10.00
  • Novak Djokovic - 17.00
  • Rafael Jodar - 21.00
  • Arthur Fils - 26.00
  • Joao Fonseca - 30.00
  • Lorenzo Musetti - 34.00
  • Casper Ruud - 40.00
  • Francisco Cerundolo - 50.00
  • Ben Shelton - 65.00

These odds, taken from the Bet365 website, show that the title will be hotly contested and that winning the Italian Open is anything but easy. Would you like to bet on the future winner or find out the odds on all the teams? Go to Bet365.com!

The impact of Italian Open statistics on your predictions

From the very beginning, we have made it a priority to incorporate statistics into our sports betting, as we recognise how important they are to the success of our predictions. The best bookmakers adjust their odds and betting markets based on the playing surface, the players’ form, the context of the match and the fixture list.

For example, if Jannik Sinner won the first set against Alexander Zverev, it’s a safe bet that the Italian will win. In the previous edition, the winner of the match was the player who won the first set in 87% of cases.

Statistics play a central role in sports betting and must therefore be taken into account before betting on Rome Masters 2026. You can consult our table, available above, to refine your choices for this year’s Italian Open.

Italian Open odds: how to use them to bet with bookmakers?

If there's one other thing to remember, it's that the odds offered by operators are also crucial to a good betting strategy. It's important to understand that they reflect the probabilities of an outcome, and our algorithm obviously takes them into account in its calculations.

If you're planning to bet on a Rome Masters match, ask yourself this question: are the odds I want to try really attractive? In other words: are the potential gains worth the stake? Or am I taking too big a risk?

  • Let’s take the example where you predict a hard-fought victory for Alexander Zverev in the semi-finals against Novak Djokovic. If the bookmakers are offering odds of 1.40 in favour of Zverev, it’s best not to take it. Applying the formula (1/odds) x 100, the implied probability is 71.4%, which is quite high. If your own assessment is not as optimistic about the German’s victory, it is therefore not profitable to take this bet. Don’t risk €10 to win just €4 in profit.
  • Another scenario: you see Arthur Fils comfortably dominating his opponent in the quarter-finals. Sports betting sites are offering odds of 1.80. The probability is therefore 55.6%, well below your estimate. The odds then become attractive, as the potential return outweighs the risk.

You should therefore always analyse the odds before betting on the Rome Masters. They may confirm your choices or contradict them. So avoid unprofitable bets and learn to spot opportunities where the risk-reward ratio is in your favour.

Guidelines for reliable Rome Masters predictions

Rome Masters predictions

At Wincomparator, our tennis experts analyse hundreds of factors to provide you with reliable predictions for the Rome Masters. You can use these as a solid foundation to maximise your chances of success.

However, it is advisable to carry out your own analysis as well. Here are three essential tips from our experts that can be of great help if you are new to tennis betting.

1. Analyse the players' current form

The first thing to do when making your tennis predictions for the ATP Rome 2026 is to analyse the form of the two players in contention. You need to look at their results, but there's more!

Take the time to read between the stats to understand the matches the two players have just played. Look at the number of points won, the number of unforced errors, the number of games and sets conceded and the minutes spent on court. This will give you a good indication of what to expect from each match at the Rome tournament.

2. Pay attention to the playing surface

The second key is the playing surface. In tennis, there are different surfaces (hard, clay, grass, etc.), each with its own specific properties. Each surface requires different skills from the players, depending on their profile and abilities. An excellent server, for example, will be at ease on grass, while a player with stamina and used to long rallies will be at ease on clay.

As the Rome Masters 1000 will be played on clay (outdoors), you should give preference to players who like this surface when making your predictions. It's no coincidence that Rafael Nadal has often shone in this tournament, the Spaniard being the best clay-court player of all time. Profiles such as Carlos Alcaraz should be favoured in your bets.

3. Look at the last head-to-head

The final element to consider for your tennis betting is the last face-off between the two players. This means studying the results of matches between the two men, focusing on the most recent (on clay if possible).

Tennis is a sport where the psychological advantage is essential, so it will be very valuable for you to know which of the two players will start the match with an edge. As well as checking our match predictions, you can easily find this information on the web. Stick to these tips, whatever tennis tournament you want to bet.

Our opinion on the difficulty of Italian Open betting

Past editions have shown us that the Rome Masters is one of the most difficult tournament to predict. Indeed, the ATP Rom is a big tournament and is usually the last big step before the next Grand Slam tournament, Roland Garros and is therefore taken very seriously by the world’s top players.

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