2025 US Open Betting tips & Predictions

How are our US Open predictions made?

US open prediction and betting tips

At Wincomparator, we've been predicting the US Open since 2008. Now, in 2025, we're bringing you our intelligent predictions, the result of years of research. Our special algorithm enables us to make reliable US Open predictions.

Our predictions are based on thousands of pieces of data
AI helps us to process the data
The odds on the US Open are taken into account in the calculation
Our experts validate all the US Open predictions generated by our tool

We are currently able to calculate the most likely result to be expected from a US Open match for your tennis predictions.

Winner prediction: who do we expect to win the US Open?

US Open winner prediction

This year, the battle is set to be fierce on the courts of Flushing Meadows. Defending champion Jannik Sinner will face stiff competition in the United States from Carlos Alcaraz.

The Italian will have the difficult task of defending his title this year in New York, having dominated the competition by winning around 90% of his matches and two of the first three Grand Slams of the year. Djokovic, who is nearing the end of his career, seemed to be lacking in physical fitness, in our opinion. This proved to be the case! Alcaraz, on the other hand, is in great form and looked like he might be the only one capable of stopping Sinner. He will be there in the final.

However, we saw that Alcaraz was slightly below his rival on hard courts. In pursuit of a hat-trick after winning the Australian Open and Wimbledon this year, Sinner is therefore the favourite for your US Open predictions. Our prediction: Jannik Sinner to win the 2025 US Open.

Bet on the US Open

The impact of US Open statistics on your predictions

US Open statistics impact

Since we started betting on the US Open tennis tournament, we quickly realized that statistics are a vital element in the success of a sports bet. Depending on the playing surface, the players' form, the context of the match, and the schedule, statistics evolve and directly influence the bets to be placed with the best betting sites.

For example, if Jannik Sinner wins the first set against Carlos Alcaraz, it's a safe bet that the Italian will win the match. Last season, the winner of the match was the player who won the first set in 77% of cases, or nearly 8 out of 10 matches. Conversely, comebacks are very rare on the American continent. Only 4% of matches saw a comeback from 0-2 to 3-2.

It is important to understand that data should always be taken into account before betting on the US Open. Feel free to consult our table above to refine your choices for the 2025 US Open.

US Open odds: how to use them to bet with bookmakers?

US Open odds

Just like statistics, the odds offered by the bookmakers are also a determining factor for your bets. They reflect the estimated probability of an outcome and are incorporated into our calculation algorithm.

The question to ask yourself before making a US Open prediction is simple: are the odds offered really attractive? In other words, does the potential gain justify the risk of your bet?

Let's imagine that you predict a hard-fought victory for Jannik Sinner against Carlos Alcaraz in the final. If the bookmakers are offering odds of 1.40 for Sinner, it might be better to refrain from betting.
Applying the formula (1/odds) x 100 gives an implied probability of 71.4%, which is a high percentage.
If your own estimate is less optimistic, the bet is probably not profitable. There's no point in risking $10 to win only $4 in profit.
Another case: you think Arthur Fils will easily dominate his opponent in the quarterfinals.
The bookmakers are offering odds of 1.80. This corresponds to a probability of 55.6%, which is well below your own estimate.
In this case, the odds become attractive because the potential gain outweighs the risk.

At the US Open, always analyze the odds before betting. They can guide your choices, help you avoid unprofitable bets, and help you spot opportunities where the risk/reward ratio is really favorable.

Guidelines for reliable US Open predictions

free betting tips US Open 2025

At Wincomparator, our predictions for the US Open tennis tournament are based on the analysis of hundreds of parameters. You can therefore consider them a solid basis for increasing your chances of success.

In addition, we recommend that you do your own analysis before betting on a match. Here are three essential tips that may be particularly useful if you are new to tennis betting.

1. Understand the impact of the surface

As with any tennis tournament, it is essential to consider the playing surface before placing a bet on the US Open. There are significant differences between each surface.

At Wincomparator, this is a factor that weighs heavily in our algorithm. The US Open is played on fast hard courts, so favor players with a good track record on this surface, such as the Australian Open or the North American Masters.

2. Analyze the players' physical condition and freshness

US Open betting advices

This year at the US Open, we advise you to carefully analyze the players' form. With only a few players coming off major tournaments on the ATP calendar, the US Open is a demanding tournament for players.

Imagine that a player reaches the round of 16 in Cincinnati, then a final in Winston-Salem just before moving on to the US Open. They are likely to be physically limited during the American Grand Slam. Don't forget that tennis is a demanding sport, and the tennis experts at Wincomparator are careful to monitor the form of players in their analysis.

3. Prioritize favorites over underdogs

Historically, it has proven to be more profitable to bet on favorites than on underdogs in Grand Slam tournaments. Indeed, this is a competition taken very seriously by the top players in the ATP rankings, and we understand this well on our site.

So don't be fooled by attractive odds: it is often the pre-tournament favorites who end up winning. If the analysis points in this direction, don't hesitate to bet on the favorites, as this is the most reliable prediction for the US Open!

Our opinion on the difficulty of US Open betting

US Open sports betting guide

From analyzing US Open matches, we know that this is not the most unpredictable competition. Indeed, the US Open is one of the four Grand Slam tournaments and is therefore taken very seriously by the top players in the rankings.

So, although there can always be a few surprises, they are still rare. Overall, with a good analysis of form, head-to-head records, and playing style, betting on the US Open remains relatively accessible.