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Carabao Cup Predictions - England
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How are our Carabao Cup predictions made?
At Wincomparator, we've been predicting the Carabao Cup since 2008. Now, in 2025, we're bringing you our intelligent predictions, the result of years of research. Our special algorithm enables us to make reliable Carabao Cup predictions.
- Our predictions are based on thousands of pieces of data
- AI helps us to process the data
- Carabao Cup odds are taken into account in the calculation
- Our experts validate all of the Carabao Cup predictions generated by our tool
This allows us the ability to calculate the most likely outcome of a Carabao Cup match in August 2025.
Winner prediction: who do we expect to win the Carabao Cup?
Newcastle got the better of Liverpool in the final last year, running out 1-0 winners to win their first major trophy in 70 years. After coming close to defending their Carabao Cup title last season, we're expecting the Reds to be motivated coming into the 2025-26 edition of this competition.
Liverpool have made it to the final in three of the last four seasons, lifting the trophy twice. They've significantly strengthened in the summer transfer window, bringing in the likes of Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike, Jeremie Frimpong and Milos Kerkez. This should allow them the kind of squad depth to effectively compete across multiple fronts, which is a key factor in England's two cup competitions. Even should manager Arne Slot opt to rotate his squad for the Carabao Cup matches, Liverpool should still have more than enough to mount a serious run at the title.
Chelsea is another team that will have ambitions of silverware coming into the 2025-26 campaign. While they are considered dark horses to win the Premier League and Champions League, the Blues might just be better suited to winning either the Carabao Cup or FA Cup this year.
While so much of the eventual Carabao Cup winner depends on the draw, we believe these two present good value in the early stages of the season. Our 2025-26 Carabao Cup prediction: Liverpool or Chelsea champions!
Who will win the Carabao Cup? The odds of the favourite for the title
- Liverpool - 6.00
- Manchester City - 7.00
- Arsenal - 9.00
- Chelsea - 9.00
- Newcastle - 10.00
- Aston Villa - 13.00
- Manchester United - 13.00
- Tottenham - 15.00
- Brighton - 21.00
- Bournemouth - 26.00
- Everton - 26.00
These odds, taken from the Bet365 website, show that the title will be hotly contested and that winning the Carabao Cup is anything but easy. Would you like to bet on the future winner or find out the odds on all the teams? Go to Bet365.com!
Note also that at certain times of the season, you'll have the opportunity to bet on the long term, including bets on which teams will make it to the final and the top goalscorer.
The impact of Carabao Cup statistics on your predictions
In our experience over the years of predicting the Carabao Cup, one element that has stood out to us is the importance of statistics. The role of statistics shouldn't be downplayed; they are integral to the success of a sports bet and the ability to accurately analyse a matchup. Taking statistics into account, along with other key information (form, injuries, players, tactics, etc.), will give you a much clearer idea of which types of bets you should favour along with which you should avoid.
For example, if last year's figures are anything to go by, a bettor would have had much more success in betting Liverpool matches to go over 2.5 goals (83% of matches last season), rather then betting Newcastle matches to go over 2.5 goals (only 29% of matches).
Keep in mind that the important figures and stats should all be analysed and taken into account before each bet on the Carabao Cup. To assist with this, we offer you our stats table a little bit higher up on this page, so don't hesitate to make use of it!
Carabao Cup odds: how to use them to bet with bookmakers?
Remember, the odds offered by bookmakers are crucial to a good betting strategy. They reflect the probabilities of an outcome, and our algorithm obviously takes them into account in its calculations as well.
When planning your Carabao Cup predictions, you should always ask yourself this question before placing your bet: are the odds I want to bet a true reflection of the outcome of the match? This will help you to determine if there is value in the bet (e.g. the potential gains are worth the stake), or if it is too big of a risk for the payout.
- For example, you could see Bournemouth having trouble when they take on Birmingham, yet the Cherries come in at odds of 1.70 to get the win.
Using the formula (1/quote) x 100, you can calculate the probability of success for the club from the South Coast as estimated by the bookmakers, in this case 58.8%.
If you're confident in your analysis and don't see Bournemouth winning, then avoid a bet. It would be a shame to risk €10, for example, to win “only” €7. Likewise, you might want to consider Birmingham double chance or even to win straight up if you think there is value there. - Reversing the situation now, you can see Manchester United getting the win in 90 minutes when they take on Nottingham Forest.
The bookmakers are offering odds of 2.10 for this bet, which gives an implied probability of 47.6%.
Here, the odds look quite good. Why? Are the bookmakers underestimating the Red Devils? If you believe that to be the case, then the potential winnings would be well worth the risk taken for this bet!
As you can see, the odds offered by online bookmakers for the Carabao Cup are not to be overlooked and should always be taken into account. This is true not only for the Carabao Cup, but also for any other football predictions!
Guidelines for reliable Carabao Cup predictions
The FA Cup predictions on our site are based on over a hundred different parameters. This is a real asset if you want to have the best possible chance at winning your next bets.
Of course, we always recommend that you also carry out your own analysis before placing your bets. To assist you with this, our experts have come up with a few key tips to look out for. These are especially useful for punters who are just starting out.
1. Keep an eye on the fixture list
In England, the biggest clubs often have a very busy schedule. You have to be wary of this situation because, between the Premier League, the FA Cup and, above all, the Champions League or one of the other two European cups, a Carabao Cup match can be put aside.
For example, if Arsenal play Real Madrid in the Champions League, host Manchester United in the Premier League before travelling to Bournemouth in the Carabao Cup and then Milan in the UEFA Champions League, the League Cup match between these clashes could well allow Arteta to rotate his squad...
A bet on the Gunners against Bournemouth away could then become a real risk, and we will have to wait at least for the Arsenal coach's press conference to gauge the temperature, or even wait for the official line-up for the match!
2. Take account of rivalries in England
In England more than anywhere else, there are many rivalries between clubs. Liverpool vs Manchester United, City vs Manchester United, Arsenal vs Tottenham, Chelsea vs Arsenal, Liverpool vs Everton... These are just a few of the many examples, and there are many other classics and derbies that could have been listed.
This is particularly the case in London, where many clubs are part of the English elite. This is an important aspect to take into account when betting on the Carabao Cup as these rivalries create special atmospheres in England's cup competitions.
There might be major rivals that are separated by different divisions, of which the Carabao Cup could give them the chance to face off, should they be lucky enough to draw one another. This has a big influence on the clubs and players, who obviously want to beat their rivals and avoid alienating their own fans. It's not uncommon to see a struggling and far-from-favourite club beat a rival in these situations!
3. Adjust your Carabao Cup bets according to team line-ups
The Carabao Cup is a unique competition as the biggest teams in England often don't take the early rounds as seriously compared to the later rounds. This is for a few reasons but mostly because they are often contending with congested fixture lists.
Therefore, it's crucial that you confirm team line-ups before placing your Carabao Cup bets. To do this, simply wait until around an hour before kickoff. You'll then find the lineups posted online on a number of different sites.
Why is this important? You might bet on Chelsea to easily beat Wolves away from home in the Carabao Cup third round, expecting the usual big-hitters to be named in the starting 11. However, the Blues might have an important Premier League or Champions League fixture coming up directly after this, resulting in the manager deciding to fully rotate his squad. While Chelsea will still be favourites to win, you will likely have gotten a much better price in this scenario if you had waited until the line-ups were confirmed.
Our opinion on the difficulty of Carabao Cup betting
In terms of cup competitions, the Carabao Cup can be a bit tricky to predict, although perhaps not quite to the level of the FA Cup. The main variable that bettors will have to contend with is the line-ups, and determining which teams are taking the competition seriously as opposed to which teams have this low on their priority list. In this competition, even the smaller clubs can be a major threat if they find themselves taking on a heavily-rotated favourite, especially if the underdogs are playing at home.
But betting on the Carabao Cup and making a profit is not impossible, far from it. At Wincomparator, we put you in the best possible position with our expert predictions, Carabao Cup stats and the best odds to bet on.
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