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Copa Libertadores Predictions - South America

Types of bets
Copa Libertadores
South America Copa Libertadores
Knockout stage
Bet365
1 5
Melbet
X 3.34
Betsson
2 2
Prediction:
Probability: 47%
Betwinner
1 5.4
Betsson
X 3.6
Bwin
2 2.05
Prediction:
Probability: 44%
19 August - 15:00
Bet365
1 1.95
Melbet
X 3.3
Stake
2 4.7
Prediction:
Probability: 52%
Bet365
1 1.85
Bet365
X 3.5
1xbet
2 5.11
Prediction:
Probability: 42%
Stake
1 1.67
Bet365
X 4
Betobet
2 6
Prediction:
Probability: 45%
1xbet
1 1.74
1xbet
X 3.58
Stake
2 5.8
Prediction:
Probability: 46%
20 August - 17:30
Shangrila
1 2.95
Bet365
X 3
Stake
2 2.8
Prediction:
Probability: 46%

Copa Libertadores Statistics (Football)

Match stats

Number of matches played 131
% home win 49.62%
% away win 26.72%
% halftime draws 23.66%
% halftime home wins 33.59%
% halftime away wins 25.19%
% halftime draws 41.22%

Goal stats

Goals 328
Average goals per match 2.5
Average home goals per match 1.47
Average away goals per match 1.03

Stats betting

% matches over 2.5 goals 45.8%
% matches under 2.5 goals 54.2%
BTTS 41.98%
Cleansheet 58.02%

Discipline stats

Yellow cards 606
Average yellow cards per match 4.63
Red cards 28
Average red cards per match 0.21

Other stats

Corners 1054
Average corners per match 8.05

Copa Libertadores Table - South America

  # Team P W D L GD Pts
 
1 Estudiantes de La Plata Estudiantes de La Plata 6 4 0 2 +6 12
 
2 Botafogo Botafogo 6 4 0 2 +3 12
 
3 U. De Chile U. De Chile 6 3 1 2 +2 10
4 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 6 0 1 5 -11 1
1 Botafogo Botafogo 6 3 0 0 4 9
2 U. De Chile U. De Chile 6 2 0 1 2 6
3 Estudiantes de La Plata Estudiantes de La Plata 6 2 0 1 2 6
4 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 6 0 1 2 -3 1
1 Estudiantes de La Plata Estudiantes de La Plata 6 2 0 1 4 6
2 U. De Chile U. De Chile 6 1 1 1 0 4
3 Botafogo Botafogo 6 1 0 2 -1 3
4 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 6 0 0 3 -8 0
1 Estudiantes de La Plata Estudiantes de La Plata 6 4 0 2 6 12
2 Botafogo Botafogo 6 4 0 2 3 12
3 U. De Chile U. De Chile 6 3 1 2 2 10
4 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 6 0 1 5 -11 1
Playoffs

Copa Libertadores fixtures

04 Mar 15:00
Deportes Iquique
Alianza Lima
1 2
05 Mar 15:00
Melgar
Cerro Porteno
0 1
05 Mar 17:30
Barcelona SC
Corinthians
3 0
06 Mar 17:30
CA Boston River
Bahia
0 0
11 Mar 15:00
Alianza Lima
Deportes Iquique
1 1
12 Mar 15:00
Cerro Porteno
Melgar
4 2
12 Mar 17:30
Corinthians
Barcelona SC
2 0
13 Mar 17:30
Bahia
CA Boston River
1 0

How are our Copa Libertadores predictions made?

The Copa Libertadores predictions

CONMEBOL's top club competition is ready for another round with 2025 Copa Libertadores set to kick off. Botafogo are the defending champions after securing their first-ever Copa Libertadores title with a 3-1 win over Atletico Mineiro in Buenos Aires.

The 66th edition of the tournament will see the group stage kick off on March 17 and run until May 29 with the knockout rounds following from August 12 to October 30. The 2025 Copa Libertadores final is set for November 29, 2025 with the venue yet to be announced.

Teams from Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay and Venezuela take part in this competition, providing spectators from all over the world a unique taste of this continent's wonderful footballing culture.

Beyond the title, which carries with it significance as there can only be one "King of South America'', the 2025 Copa Libertadores grants entry to the next edition of the FIFA Club World Cup, where all the winners of their respective continental competitions face off against one another. In addition, the winner is automatically qualified for the next edition of the most important club tournament in South America, being assigned to Draw 1 and Group A.

Unsurprisingly,  it's Brazil that dominates the early betting markets for the 2025 Copa Libertadores winner with four of the top five in the betting all teams from Brazil. Argentinian team River Plate are the ones to prevent a clean sweep at the top of the market!. The last six consecutive Copas have been won by Brazilian clubs, three of which featured an all-Brazil final. Flamengo and Palmeiras are joint favourites at an early stage. Defending champions Botafego find themselves at a bigger price as they bid to back up their surprise victory in 2024.

The impact of Copa Libertadores statistics on your predictions

Ahead of the 2025 edition of the competition, we've compiled some interesting statistics from the previous year's tournament which can be useful in your betting. Take a look and apply this information to your predictions in the future!

  • Home win percentage: 54%
  • Draw percentage: 26%
  • Away win percentage: 20%
  • Average goals per game: 2.39
  • Matches with over 1.5 goals: 72%
  • Matches with over 2.5 goals: 41%
  • Matches with over 3.5 goals: 22%
  • Both teams to score: 48% of matches
  • Average home goals: 1.50 per match
  • Average away goals: 0.88 per match
  • Goals scored in first half: 49%
  • Goal scored in second half: 51%
  • Most common scoreline: 1-1 (16.1%)
  • Second most common: 2-1 home team (14.2%)
  • Third and fourth: 1-0, 2-0 home team (12.3% and 10.3%)
  • Half-time most common score: 0-0 (30.3%)
  • Half-time second most common: 1-0 home team (23.9%)

2025 Copa Libertadores: Our free prediction for the 2025 season

Copa Libertadores betting advice

It is more than two decades since a Copa Libertadores winner repeated so that looks a tough task for Botofogo. Brazilian teams have been the dominating force in this competition in recent years and perhaps Palmerias are their strongest team for the 2025 renewal. If there is to be a break in Brazilian dominance then the most likely team to do so is Argentinian side River Plate. 

Our 2025 Copa Libertadores prediction: River Plate or Palmeiras as our selection to win the 2025 Copa Libertadores.

Odds to Win the 2025 Copa Libertadores

  • Flamengo - 5.50
  • Palmeiras - 5.50
  • Internacional - 10.00
  • Sao Paulo - 11.00
  • River Plate - 11.00
  • Racing - 13.00
  • Atletico Nacional - 13.00
  • Botofogo - 14.00
  • Fortaleza- 15.00
  • Estudiantes LP - 19.00
  • Penarol - 23.00
  • LDU Quito - 31.00
  • Velez Sarsfield - 31.00
  • Libertad - 67.00
  • Cerro Porteno - 67.00
  • Universitario - 101.00

Odds taken from bet365.com - Odds correct on 04/06/2025

2025 Copa Libertadores Last 16

Games are played over two legs. The first leg is on the 12-14 August and the second is on 19-21 August.

  • Atletico Nacional - Sao Paolo
  • Botafogo - LDU Quito
  • Universitario - Palmeiras
  • Libertad - River Plate
  • Fortaleza - Velez Sarsfield
  • Penarol - Racing
  • Flamengo - Internacional
  • Cerro Porteno - Estudiantes LP

2025 Copa Libertadores Group stages

Group A:

  • Estudiantes LP - 12 points
  • Botafogo - 12 points
  • Universidad de Chile - 10 points
  • Carabobo - 1 point

Group B:

  • River Plate - 12 points
  • Universitario - 8 points
  • Independiente de Valle - 8 points
  • Barcelona - 4 points

Group C:

  • LDU Quito - 11 points
  • Flamengo - 11 points
  • Central Cordoba - 11 points
  • Deportivo Tachira - 0 points

Group  D:

  • Sao Paulo - 14 points
  • Libertad - 9 points
  • Alianza Lima - 5 points
  • Talleres - 4 points

Group E:

  • Racing - 13 points
  • Fortaleza - 8 points
  • Atletico Bucaramanga - 6 points
  • Colo-Colo - 5 points

Group F:

  • Internacional - 11 points
  • Atletico Nacional - 9 points
  • Bahia - 7 points
  • Nacional - 7 points

Group G:

  • Palmeiras - 18 points
  • Cerro Porteno - 7 points
  • Bolivar - 6 points
  • Sporting Cristal - 4 points

Group H:

  • Velez Sarsfield - 11 points
  • Penarol - 11 points
  • San Antonio Bulo Bulo - 6 points
  • Olimpia - 5 points

2024 Copa Libertadores Recap 

Defending champions: Botofogo are the defending champions after defeating Atletico Mineiroby a score of 3-1.

Past winners: Independiente are the all-time leaders with seven Copa Libertadores titles to their name, although haven't won the famous cup since 1984. Boca Juniors have lifted the cup an impressive six times with their last triumph coming in 2007. Uruguayan club Peñarol have five titles while Argentinian giants River Plate have four. Flamengo have three titles, along with Palmeiras who won the 2020 and 2021 Copa Libertadores.

Top goalscorer: Junior Santos was the top scorer in the 2024 edition with 10 total goals.

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