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Serie A Predictions - Italy
Serie A fixtures
How are our Serie A predictions made?
At Wincomparator, we've been predicting the Serie A since 2008. Now, in 2025, we're bringing you our intelligent predictions, the result of years of research. Our special algorithm enables us to make reliable Serie A predictions.
- Our predictions are based on thousands of pieces of data
- AI helps us to process the data
- The odds on the Serie A are taken into account in the calculation
- Our experts validate all the Serie A predictions generated by our tool
We are currently able to calculate the most likely result to be expected from a Serie A match.
Winner prediction: who do we expect to win the Serie A?
Serie A has been highly competitive in recent years. After Juventus dominated the league in the 2010s (winning nine titles), we have seen three different champions in the last five years, with none managing to retain their crown.
For the 2025-2026 Italian championship, although the odds are relatively close, Napoli, the reigning champions, are the bookmakers' favourites. They have had a superb transfer window and have retained the coach who led them to victory last year, Antonio Conte, and will undoubtedly be in contention once again this season.
Although we expect a real battle with Inter, as was the case last year, we give a slight advantage to Kevin De Bruyne and his new teammates. Our prediction: Napoli will win the Serie A.
Who will win the Serie A? The odds of the favourite for the title
- Napoli - 2.62
- Inter Milan - 3.75
- Juventus - 6.00
- AC Milan - 6.50
- Roma - 11.00
- Atalanta - 21.00
- Lazio - 34.00
- Fiorentina - 67.00
These odds, taken from the Bet365 website, show that the title will be hotly contested and that winning the Serie A is anything but easy. Would you like to bet on the future winner or find out the odds on all the teams? Go to Bet365.com!
The impact of Serie A statistics on your predictions
Bear in mind that when making predictions about Serie A or any other football prediction, statistics play a major role in the success of sports betting. Don't overlook them, because depending on the teams, players, or matches, these famous stats may vary, but they all have one thing in common: they have a significant impact on which bets to favor (or avoid).
If we look at last year's figures, for example, we can see that for a bet such as “over 2.5 goals,” it was more advantageous to bet on Fiorentina, Lazio, or AC Milan, which were the three teams that validated this bet the most (61% of matches). In the opposite, it was better not to place this bet on Genoa or Lecce (only 39% of matches) and even less so on Torino (only 26%).
The figures should always be taken into account before betting on an Italian Serie A match, and this year is obviously no exception. To do so, feel free to consult our statistics table, which you will find above on this page.
Serie A odds: how to use them to bet with bookmakers?
But it's not just the statistics you need to take into account: the odds offered by the bookmakers are also a determining factor for your bets. These simply reflect the different probabilities of an outcome, and are of course taken into account in our algorithm.
In order to make a reliable Serie A prediction, you need to ask yourself this question: are the odds really interesting? You simply have to ask yourself whether the winnings on offer in the event of a successful bet are worth making a bet with a bookmaker.
- Let's illustrate this with an example. You see Atalanta having a tough game against Como, yet the operators are offering odds of 1.59 for a Dea victory. Here, using the formula (1/odds) x 100, we calculate that the bookmakers estimate the probability of a win for the Bergamo club at 62.9%. This is quite a high figure, too high in your opinion. If that's the case, it's better not to take these odds, as you'll be risking your money for a rather low return (€5.90 for every €10 bet, for example).
Now let's imagine the opposite scenario, where AC Milan takes all three points away from Torino. For this outcome, the bookmakers are offering odds of 2.11, or a probability of 47.4%. Too low, in your opinion. In this case, the odds are pretty good: the promised winnings will be high compared to the risk taken.
The odds offered by online operators on the Serie A are therefore very important and should always be taken into account when making your bets. They will certainly help you make the right choice of bet on Serie A matches.
Guidelines for reliable Serie A predictions
The Serie A predictions on our site are the result of dozens of parameters. Don't hesitate to trust them if you want to maximise your chances of increasing your bankroll.
In addition to all this, we strongly advise you to carry out an analysis beforehand and for each of your bets. Below are some of the tips that seem most obvious to us.
1. Pay attention to the tactics employed
Although Serie A has long been considered a league based solely on tactics, this is somewhat less the case today. However, it remains one of the main characteristics of Italian competition. Therefore, it will be very important for your bets to pay attention to the tactics employed by the coaches of the various clubs, who may not play in the same way depending on their opponent.
For example, playing against a direct rival for survival will be very different from playing against a club fighting for the title or a top-four finish, in which case the opposing club will suffer much more and will have to sit back and defend.
Before betting on the Italian championship, take a look at how the clubs play, but above all, how they are able to change tactics depending on the opposition and the game situation.
2. Keep an eye on the teams' schedules
Nowadays, players and clubs are playing more and more matches. Between Serie A, the Italian Cup, the Super Cup, the Champions League or Europa League and Conference League, and international matches for those involved, the schedule is starting to get very busy. Before placing a bet on Serie A, it is therefore very important to check the schedule of the clubs involved in your bet. This could be much more important than you might think.
Take Napoli, for example, who have to travel to Liverpool in the Champions League before hosting Inter, traveling to Parma, hosting Real Madrid, and then traveling to Rome to face the Giallorossi. The match against Parma in the middle of all these clashes seems like the perfect opportunity for Antonio Conte to rotate his squad, and it has all the makings of a trap game.
For this type of match, we recommend waiting at least until the squad list is announced, and preferably the official lineup! Because if the coach decides to rest his key players, the match could take a very different turn than you expected. Keep this in mind throughout the season!
3. Place simple bets
You will quickly notice this when you take a look at our football predictions, but please note that Wincomparator offers three types of predictions: 1X2 (match result), BTTS (both teams to score), and Under/Over 2.5 goals (+/-). This is clearly a choice made by our experts, as they believe these are the bets most likely to be validated. For this new season of the Italian football championship, our advice is clear: stick to simple bets! While you can obviously try other types of bets, you shouldn't overdo it throughout the season.
For example, a combination bet, an exact score bet, or a goal scorer bet can sometimes be interesting to try if the analysis confirms it, but these are not the types of bets that come through most often.
Our opinion on the difficulty of Serie A betting
Overall, and especially in recent years, Serie A has not been the easiest league to predict. While the champion is almost a foregone conclusion from the start of the season in Germany or France, this has not been the case here for the past five years. It is nevertheless important to note that the major clubs remain fairly successful despite a few disappointing seasons, and that there are rarely any big surprises.
While nothing is set in stone, clubs such as Napoli, Inter, Juventus, AC Milan, and Atalanta Bergamo have still won a large proportion of their matches in recent years. Good luck with your bets on the Italian Serie A!
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