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SC Braga v Fiorentina Betting Tips [16 February 2023]

Football - Conference League

16 February 2023 12:45

SC BRAGA
0
End
4
FIORENTINA
45' :  0 - 1
Braga draw no bet
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The match

The Europa Conference League round of 16 sees Portuguese side SC Braga hosting Italian side Fiorentina at the Estádio Municipal de Braga for the first of this two-legged fixture. Braga are having a strong season and currently sit third in the Portuguese Primeira Division. They’ve won 13 of their last 15 competitive fixtures and are within two points of second-place Porto and the final Champions League qualification spot. The Archbishops are coming off a 2-1 away win against Maritimo on Sunday which improved their stellar away record in the league to nine wins from 11 trips. Braga advanced to this stage by finishing third in the Europa League Group D although they put forward a very respectable showing with three wins, one draw and two defeats in that competition. The hosts have been on a roll on their home pitch recently and a recent penalty shootout victory over Benfica means they have now won their last nine in a row in front of the home support.

Fiortenina, on the other hand, have not achieved the same level of success as their opponents this season. La Viola find themselves in the bottom half of the Serie A table with 24 points from 22 matches placing them 14th in the standings. Fiorentina were able to elevate their play in the Conference League and finished second in Group A with four wins, one draw and one defeat. Much of Fiorentina’s woes have come from their inconsistent away form this season, managing to win just two of their 11 away trips in the Serie A. Their last match ended in a 1-0 away defeat to Juventus which was preceded by a 2-1 home loss to Bologna. Fio have hit an ugly streak of form which has seen them lose four of their last six while managing only one win. They’ll need to snap out of it here or they risk digging themselves an inescapable hole in the first leg against an opponent that has been on a red-hot run.

Key Statistics

  • SC Braga have a combined home record this season of 12 wins, two draws and three losses across their 17 competitive fixtures.
  • Fiorentina have managed just one point over their last four away matches, being outscored in the process by an aggregate of 6-2.
  • Fiorentina have failed to score in five of their 11 away Serie A matches this season and are averaging less than a goal a game in those trips at 0.73.
  • Braga have kept a clean sheet in six of their 11 home matches in the league and are allowing only 0.67 goals per outing.

The bet of our experts

Braga have been in excellent form and there is no reason why they should feel like they can’t record a rather comfortable victory against a stuttering Fiorentina side. You’d have to go back to November of 2022 for the last time that they lost a home match and they even hold the distinction of being the only team to defeat Benfica this season, doing so on two occasions. In our estimation, Braga should be much heavier favorites than the oddsmakers are listing them as, meaning there is a ton of value in backing the hosts. We’re going to take them with the draw with no bet insurance but backing them to win straight up is another excellent option. Our Braga vs Fiorentina prediction: Braga draw no bet

Created on 13/02/2023 at 22:02
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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