Saint-Etienne’s recent revival will come under stern test on Sunday when they welcome PSG in Match Day 15 action. The two sides are on opposite ends of the league table; the hosts 19th, with 12 points and PSG have 37 points at the summit of the table. Saint-Etienne have been on a good run lately, going unbeaten in their last four matches. They head to this game with two straight wins, having beaten Troyes and Clermont, and another win could see them rise to as far as 15th. Their matches have seen both sides score in four of the last five and they have just once clean sheet. They’ve scored in all the last five, with three producing over 2.5 goals. Saint-Etienne have managed three unbeaten games at home heading into this but their 3-2 win over struggling Clermont is their only home win in five Ligue 1 matches there.
PSG haven’t had it all smooth either, but theirs is a much better run compared to Saint-Etienne’s. They are coming from a 2-1 loss at Manchester City in the Champions League and in their last five matches they have no clean sheet. A key observation from their past few games is that they are overwhelmed when defending, given their star trio of Kylian Mbappe, Lionel Messi and Neymar do not track back. As a result, they’ve conceded twice in three of their last five matches. These stars are performing in attack though; in the last five matches, PSG have scored two or more goals in four and the Parisians have failed to score in just two of their last 10 games.
Saint-Etienne have failed to score in just one of the last five matches, but they have one clean sheet only in that run. PSG on the other hand, have no clean sheet in the last five but have failed to score in just two of the last 10 games. These teams’ matches are rarely low scoring and thus we will go for over 2.5 goals here.