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Rugby World Cup Betting Tips from our Experts

Rugby World Cup 2023 Prediction

Rugby World Cup 2023 prediction

Don't hesitate to predict the Rugby World Cup this year! Held in France between 8 September and 28 October 2023, the tenth Rugby World Cup in history is expected to be one of the best ever.

Who are the favourites? Who should you bet on to win the title? Who do you believe will qualify for the knockout stages? Our rugby experts at Wincomparator give you all the information you need to bet on rugby with totally free predictions. And it starts with a brief presentation of the competition.

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Rugby World Cup: presentation of the tournament for your sports predictions

Presentation of the Rugby World Cup

Before we talk about our prediction for the winner of the Rugby World Cup, and those for the different pools, let's have a quick look at the format of the competition. The 2023 Rugby World Cup is simple, and is divided into two phases.

The first phase is a pool phase, in which the 20 participating teams are divided into four pools of five. From 8 September to 8 October, each team plays the other teams in its pool and tries (no pun intended) to finish in the top two.

At the end of this phase, the teams ranked in the top two places in each pool qualify for the knockout phase. A win earns four points, a draw earns two points, a team scoring four tries receives one point (attacking bonus) and a defeat of seven points or less earns a team one point (defensive bonus).

The knockout phase takes place between the eight teams that qualify from the pools. This is scheduled to take place from 14 to 28 October 2023.

There are first the quarter finals, then the semi-finals, and finally the grand final which determines the Rugby World Champions. You will note that a third place match is also on the competition schedule.

Is the format understood? Then let's get to the good stuff: our predictions for this Rugby World Cup 2023!

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Who will win the Rugby World Cup 2023? Our free prediction

Prediction for the winner of the Rugby World Cup 2023

The World Cup matches take place around the country from Villeneuve d'Ascq to Marseille, via Saint-Denis or Bordeaux. France are favourites to win the World Cup because they play on home soil. Three times in the past, the host nation won the tournament. If we look at the odds offered by bookmakers at the start of the tournament, the French team are at the top of the betting market.

Counting on huge talents of world rugby (Dupont, Ntamack, Penaud, Ramos, Ollivon, Flament...), the pool led by Fabien Galthié seems to have a good chance of being successful. However, they only finished second in the Six Nations this year.

There are some strong teams out to deny France World Cup glory. Ireland have just won the Grand Slam in the Six Nations. New Zealand and defending champions South Africa will also make a strong challenge.

Wincomparator's prediction is therefore a win for France. If you agree with us, don't hesitate to place a small bet with one of your favourite bookmakers.

Odds for the favourites of the Rugby World Cup

Would you like to follow Wincomparator rugby predictions and bet on the future winner of the 2023 World Cup? Here are the best odds for the favourites in October 2023:

  • France - 3.75
  • New Zealand - 4.00
  • Ireland - 5.00
  • South Africa - 6.00
  • England - 9.00
  • Australia - 11.00
  • Scotland - 26.00
  • Argentina - 26.00
  • Wales - 29.00

Whether you choose the French team, the All-Blacks, the Wallabies, the Springboks or the Irish side, the odds are interesting at the different online sports betting sites.

This could be a good opportunity to open an account with a new bookmaker, if only to take advantage of one of the nice sports betting bonuses currently on offer.

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Our prediction on the pool stage of the Rugby World Cup 2023

The Rugby World Cup 2023 starts with a pool stage, as we mentioned earlier. Did you know that you can also bet on this at online bookmakers?

There are some great odds available on who will win each pool and who will qualify for the quarter finals, so here are our Rugby World Cup pool predictions to help you out. As a reminder, you need to finish in the top two of a pool to reach the knockout stages.

Pool A : France - New Zealand - Uruguay - Italy - Namibia

Prediction Pool A - Rugby World Cup 2023

France and New Zealand are the undisputed favourites to qualify from Pool A of the Rugby World Cup. With France being one of the best nations in the world at the moment and hosting the competition, it's hard to imagine them missing out on the quarter finals of the tournament. As for the All Blacks, they are still in the mix and are well above the level of the other teams in this pool.

Pool A prediction: France wins the pool and New Zealand finishes second.

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Pool B : Ireland - South Africa - Scotland - Tonga - Romania

Prediction Pool B - Rugby World Cup 2023

As far as Pool B of this 2023 World Cup is concerned, Ireland and South Africa should be able to book their tickets for the quarter finals. Between a strong Irish team and the reigning World Cup champions, the challenge looks a bit too much for Scotland (who should finish third) with the same applying to Tonga and Romania. As one of the few teams to have dominated France in recent months (32-19 in the 2023 Six Nations), Ireland are expected to win this pool.

Pool B prediction: Ireland wins the pool and South Africa finishes second.

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Pool C: Australia - Wales - Fiji - Georgia - Portugal

Prediction pool C - Rugby World Cup 2023

In Pool C, Australia and Wales are the two favourites to qualify for the second round. Even if they haven’t been part of the world's Top three for some time, these two teams are superior to Fiji, Georgia and Portugal. While we will have to keep an eye on Fiji's performance in this pool, our prediction is therefore in favour of Australia and Wales.

Pool C prediction: Australia wins the pool with Wales in second.

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Pool D: England - Argentina - Japan - Samoa - Chile

Prediction Pool D - Rugby World Cup 2023

In Pool D, England and Argentina should make life difficult for Japan, Samoa and Chile. Without hesitation, it’s England and Argentina who can make it into the last eight, though neither look likely to go on to become world champions.

Pool D prediction: England wins the pool and Argentina comes second.

In Pool D, BetWinner offers good odds. Check out the online bookmaker's offer to see for yourself.

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Our advice for a good Rugby World Cup prediction

To bet reliably on the Rugby World Cup 2023, you can follow the predictions of our team of rugby experts. If you want to be ahead of the game and do your own thinking and predictions, here are some best practices to follow during the tournament: 

  • Look at the latest results
  • Note the overall form of the teams (play produced, scores, offensive and defensive levels)
  • Note the individual form of major players
  • Take into account the recent statistics of both teams
  • Find out about any players who are absent (injuries and suspensions)
  • Know the performance of the teams when a key player was absent
  • Observe the tactical strengths and weaknesses of both teams
  • Find out the mental context of the match (psychological advantage, pressure)
  • Determine what is at stake in the match (qualification? elimination?)
  • Don't bet too much on your favourite team 

With these ten tips from experienced tipsters, your 2023 Rugby World Cup predictions should become more reliable. 

Don't forget that all the matches of the competition are proposed above on this page, with an analysis and a prediction of the result for each. So you'll be well equipped to bet on the tournament in France.

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Rugby World Cup statistics to know before you bet

Whether you are a beginner or a regular of online sports betting sites, note one thing: knowing the statistics of a competition is essential to avoid making mistakes!

In order to help you predict the 2023 Rugby World Cup, the Wincomparator team has compiled the key figures of the tournament. And it starts with the number of points expected during each match.

With an average of 48 points and 6.4 tries scored per game, it is important to note that the Rugby World Cup remains spectacular. 76% of the games had an attacking bonus in the last tournament, so you should expect a lot of chances in this French edition.

Another thing to know: there are few surprises in a Rugby World Cup. At the last event, 89% of the matches were validated by the "team wins at half-time and at the end of the match" bet, while 58% of the matches had more points in the second half than in the first. Note therefore that the result is often decided in the first half, before the gap widens after the break.

Finally, note that handicap bets are interesting to play during the 2023 Rugby World Cup. In Japan, during the last World Cup, 40% of the matches ended on a gap of 16 to 30 points, i.e. 4 matches out of 10. So this is the level you should bet on when it comes to spreads. What the experts say.

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More info on the Rugby World Cup

To improve your knowledge of the Rugby World Cup (and therefore make better Rugby predictions), here are the answers to the most frequently asked questions.

Rugby World Cup broadcasting: which TV channel to watch it on?

The Rugby World Cup can be seen on ITV and ITVX, neither requiring a subscription to be paid.

How many times has France won the Rugby World Cup?

The French national team has never won the Rugby World Cup. Their best result is a second place finish in the 1987, 1999 and 2011 editions.

Who has won the Rugby World Cup?

In total, four teams have won the Rugby World Cup: South Africa (three times), New Zealand (three times), Australia (twice) and England (once).

Where is the Rugby World Cup taking place?

The Rugby World Cup 2023 is taking place in France. 9 cities are hosting matches: Décines (Lyon), Bordeaux, Saint-Denis, Nantes, Nice, Saint-Etienne, Villeneuve d'Ascq (Lille), Marseille and Toulouse.

In what year was the Rugby World Cup created?

The Rugby World Cup has existed since 1987. That year, the tournament was co-hosted by Australia and New Zealand, and was won by the All-Blacks.

How many teams play in the Rugby World Cup?

There are 20 teams competing in the Rugby World Cup. There are nine European nations, six from Asia-Oceania, two from Africa and three from Latin America.

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To make sure you don't miss anything about the competition, don't hesitate to consult our Rugby World Cup odds comparator, as well as our Rugby World Cup Livescore. Together, they will help you to know more about the tournament, and therefore to make better sports bets on the competition organized in France. Don't deprive yourself of these two tools!

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