This fifth round fixture sees Roma taking on Zorya Lougansk at the Stadio Olimpico. The Italians are on seven points in second place while their opponents are one point behind in third place. Roma started the group as favourites and started off with two big wins but then a shock loss to Bodo/Glimt halted their progress. It was the most embarrassing of defeats for Roma as they lost 6-1 to a relatively unknown team. They were unable to exact revenge when they played Bodo/Glimt at home as they played out a 2-2 draw. Despite the poor run of results a win in this match will see them through to the knockout round. If group leaders Bodo/Glimt lose or draw and Roma win their last two matches then they will finish as group winners. Roma have a great record at home having only lost once in their last 20 matches.
Zorya Lougansk enter this match knowing anything other than a win could see their hopes of qualifying disappear. They need a win to leapfrog Roma into second position while a draw will mean they will need a win in their last match and hope Roma and Bodo/Glimt lose their final matches. This is a very unlikely scenario so they will want to get three points in this match. They were on a three game winning run away from home until their lost their last away match against Lviv in the Ukraine Premier League. They did however win their last away match in the group when they beat CSKA Sofia 1-0.
The Italians have shown a weakness away from home but in Rome they have built a fortress. All their matches are high scoring affairs and we back them to win this match and clinch their spot in the knockout phase. Backing the over 2.5 goals is a good bet.