Real Sociedad are sixth in La Liga and end their season with a home match against fourth placed Atletico Madrid. Sociedad are assured a place in the Europa League but will have to go into the qualifying rounds. They’ll get automatic entry into the group stages if finishing fifth in La Liga. To do that, they need to win this match and see Real Betis lose at Real Madrid, who may well rest players ahead of the Champions League final. Sociedad came from behind on Sunday to win 2-1 at seventh placed Villarreal and that confirmed their Europa League spot. Those of you looking to see plenty of goals should avoid attending Real Sociedad home league games. 18 games in La Liga have seen Sociedad score 15 goals but they have the best defensive record with only seven goals conceded. Of the 22 home league goals scored, seven came in two matches (the only ones to have over 2.5 goals), so that’s 15 in the other 16. Their last home game was a 3-0 league win over Cadix, before that seven of the last eight had seen under 1.5 goals scored. Only in one of their last nine home La Liga games have they conceded a goal.
Atletico Madrid will again be in the Champions League next season. They are third in the table but could drop to fourth. Atletico are a point ahead of Sevilla (who they drew with on Sunday) but have an inferior head-to-head record against them. A win for Atletico will clinch third spot, a draw would be good enough if Sevilla don’t beat Athletic Bilbo and defeat would see Seville just needing a draw to go above them. Atletico have won eight away games in La Liga this season. However, two of the last three have been lost making it seven away losses this season. Their last four La Liga away fixtures have all had under 2.5 goals scored. That doesn’t bode well for an end-of-season goal fest does it? Those four away games have seen three clean sheets kept by Atletico. The reverse fixture did see goals though. Atletico drew 2-2 at home with Sociedad but had to come from two goals down to get the point. Go for under 2.5 goals in this match.