Leeds v Aston Villa Betting Tips [2 October 2022]

The Premier League returns after the international break with matchday nine serving up a mid-table clash as 11th-place Leeds hosts 15th-place Aston Villa at Elland Road. Leeds have certainly cooled-off after their red-hot start to the Premier League season which saw them take seven points from their opening three matches with an EFL cup win thrown in as well. Since then, the Whites have taken only a point from their last three league outings with their most recent a heavy 5-2 away defeat at the hands of Brentford. Their opponents today have not fared well in the opening phase of the 2022/23 campaign and find themselves flirting with the relegation zone. Aston Villa are just 2-1-4 on the season and Steven Gerrard will be desperate to turn things around before the mummers of a managerial replacement start up. The Villans do have some positives to build off of however, as a 1-0 victory Southampton in their most recent outing ended a three match winless run.

Leeds will have to improve on the defensive side of the ball if they are to get the full three points in this match. Although their last result was certainly an ugly one, it’s important to note that Leeds are 3-1-0 at home in all competitions compared to 0-1-2 on the road. This includes a much improved defensive solidity which has seen the Whites give up just three goals in their four home matches and eight goals in their three away trips. The explosive Rodrigo is pushing for a start in this match as he looks to recover from a shoulder injury. His inclusion would be a massive boost for Jesse Marsch’s men as the Spanish international had scored four goals in five matches before going down. Aston Villa remain winless on the road in the Premier League, losing all three of their matches and will have to be at their very best to end that streak here.

We’re going to back Leeds draw no bet as our pick for this match. The insurance of having our bet be a push at these odds is excellent value for a Leeds side that have been dramatically better at home this season. Combined with the visitors' struggle to put any kind of a result away from home, we are very likely to see a home win in this match. Leeds on the standard moneyline is also worth a sprinkle as there also remains good value in that price as well.