Matchday 28 in the Brasileiro Serie A sees Fluminense hosting Juventude at the Maracana. The home team will be looking to close the gap on leaders Palmeiras to six points with only 10 matches remaining in the league season. Fluminense has a record of 14-6-7 on the season which puts them in third-place with a total of 48 points, one behind second-place Internacional and nine behind Palmeiras. The Tricolor are coming off an emotional 2-1 away win over rivals Flamengo which saw a total of four players sent off. On the other side, Juventude will be hoping to put an end to an eight match winless streak. The visitors are bottom of the table with a 3-10-14 record and are coming off a 1-1 home draw to Fortaleza in their last outing.
Fluminense will look to take advantage of their strong home form this year and try to pile further misery on the visiting Juventude. Flu are unbeaten in 11 straight at home in all competitions, a streak which includes eight wins and three draws. They will be expecting the three points in this one against a Juventude side that has been dismal on the road this season. O Azul is just 1-4-8 as the visitors which includes a current streak of five consecutive defeats. On top of that, Juventude has really struggled to find the back of the net with their 21 total goals the second lowest mark in the league and their nine away goals tied for the third lowest.
We’re going to back Fluminense on the -1 Asian Handicap as our bet for this match. This means that the hosts will have to win by two goals for our bet to be a winner while a one goal margin of victory would result in a push. This price is a bit juicy but having the one goal victory push protection is vital in this spot. Fluminense has won enough of their home matches by multiple goals that they should be able to record another one here against one of the worst away teams in the division in Juventude.