The top four in the Italian Serie A is out of reach for both Fiorentina and Roma but they can still get some continental football next season. That, and bouncing back from three winless outings in the Serie A will be the major targets when they face off on Monday. Fiorentina, hosts in this game, are placed seventh with 56 points while Roma are fifth on 59 points. The recent 1-0 loss to AC Milan was Fiorentina’s fourth straight defeat and the third time in four matches that they failed to score. They have just two goals in the last five matches, while they’ve conceded two or more in three of the last four matches. Fiorentina are winless in six matches against Roma, their last win in this fixture came way back, in 2019, and it was in the Coppa Italia. Fiorentina are three points below the Conference League and Europa League spots, but their case isn’t helped by a very inferior goal difference.
Roma are coming from a key win in the Conference League, which granted them a place in the final of the competition after beating Leicester City 1-0. This momentum they will want to carry it here, in their search for a first win in four Serie A matches and it will help that they have dominated this fixture in recent years. Roma have five straight wins over Fiorentina, and they have scored two or more goals in each of the last six meetings. They however have just one clean sheet in the last 10 meetings. While each of these teams has one win in five matches, there’s a feeling Roma are in a better place in terms of confidence. The visitors have scored in four of their last five matches and have two straight clean sheets coming into this game. They’ve only conceded more than a goal in one of their last five matches.
These two sides aren’t on very strong runs in the Serie A but looking at the recent matches, Roma have an edge over Fiorentina. The visitors have a better head to head record and have done better defensively and in attack, compared to Fiorentina. Fresh from the emotional win over Leicester City in the Conference League, Roma have the momentum here and we are backing them to win this.