Chelsea are up against form, fitness, and history, as they battle to overturn a massive first-leg deficit against Bayern Munich when they visit Allianz Arena for this UEFA Champions League round of 16 second-leg. Bayern have won the first leg 3-0 thanks to a double from Serge Gnarby and a single Robert Lewandowski strike. Bayern are fresh from romping to a domestic double, while Chelsea have just concluded their Premier League engagements finishing fourth.
Bayern have taken a huge step towards quarter-finals after the 3-0 win away at Stamford Bridge. Furthermore, the Bavarians are in the midst of a 17-match unbeaten run, winning both the Bundesliga and DFB Pokal titles. They won all six games in the Champions League group stage this season scoring 24 goals in the process. Together with the first-leg win, six of Bayern’s seven wins in Champions League this season have come with a 2+ goal margin. Bayern are unbeaten at home in all competitions since November 30, winning 12 and drawing one. Bayern have conceded three goals in just three of their 43 home Champions League knockout matches, although they did so in their most recent defeat to Liverpool in 2019.
Chelsea hobbled to a fourth-place finish in the Premier League and finished their domestic season with a 2-1 loss to Arsenal in the FA Cup. Augmenting their problems, key players Christian Pulisic and Cesar Azpilicueta are injured and out of this match. Coach Frank Lampard will be hard-pressed as Marcos Alonso and Jorginho are suspended for this tie, while N’Golo Kante and Willian remain doubtful. Additionally, Chelsea have been struggling away from home in the Champions League knockouts remaining winless in their last seven – drawing four and losing three. Furthermore, Chelsea have scored three goals in an away Champions League only once previously, winning 3-1 at Liverpool in April 2009.
Bayern Munich are in the midst of an excellent season where they have been stacking up goals. They have won their last seven competitive matches at home, with six of those producing over 2.5 goals. That could be in play here once again, especially since Chelsea will also be looking for goals. The visitors, however, are handicapped with key players set to be missing in action. Chelsea’s task is very difficult considering no team in the entire history of the European Cup and Champions League has failed to progress after winning the first leg of a knockout match away from home – going through on all 92 previous occasions. It is a difficult task for Chelsea and we are backing Bayern to win this match.