Croatia v Armenia Betting Tips [21 November 2023]
Football - Euro
21 November 2023 14:45
The match
Croatia come into this final Euro qualifying Group D match against fourth placed Armenia in second place. They are already guaranteed a play-off place but will want automatic qualification. Going into this final group fixture they lead third placed Wales (home to group leaders Turkey the same night) by two points but have an inferior head-to-head record against them. Winning this match will see them in Germany for next year's finals. Saturday saw Croatia get a vital 2-0 away win in Lativa and were boosted by the news that Wales only drew with Armenia. They have won four of their seven group games, losing twice to Turkey and Wales. At home they have won one, drawn one and lost to the Turks. The reverse fixture against Armenia produced a 1-0 victory. The victory in Latvia on Saturday ended a run of two losses in this group. The home loss to Turkey was the first home Euro qualifier they have lost since first playing them in 1994.
Armenia are in fourth position and their wait to qualify for a major finals will continue. Only eight points have been earned in this group putting them five points behind Croatia. A win for them in this game and a Welsh loss to Turkey would see them finish in third. However, their Nations League form won't save them and they are already eliminated. Away form has seen them win in Wales, lose to Latvia (how costly that was) and draw in Turkey. Croatia can win this game and lead at half and full time to ensure automatic qualification.
Key Statistics
- Croatia have only ever lost one home Euro qualifying match.
- Croatia won the reverse fixture 1-0.
- Croatia have won six of their last eight home Euro qualifiers.
- Armenia have only earned four points from their three away group games.
The bet of our experts
It's not been an easy group for Croatia and they will hope there's not a sting in its tail for them. A win over Armenia will see them safely in the finals. Anything less than a win for Wales at home to Turkey will see Croatia automatically qualify regardless of what happens in this game. Croatia lost to Turkey at home in this group but that was their first ever home Euro qualifying defeat. Armenia have done well to earn eight points but poor home form and a loss in Latvia have hit them hard. We believe Croatia can get the job finished and win with them leading at both half and full time.
