Croatia come into this final Euro qualifying Group D match against fourth placed Armenia in second place. They are already guaranteed a play-off place but will want automatic qualification. Going into this final group fixture they lead third placed Wales (home to group leaders Turkey the same night) by two points but have an inferior head-to-head record against them. Winning this match will see them in Germany for next year's finals. Saturday saw Croatia get a vital 2-0 away win in Lativa and were boosted by the news that Wales only drew with Armenia. They have won four of their seven group games, losing twice to Turkey and Wales. At home they have won one, drawn one and lost to the Turks. The reverse fixture against Armenia produced a 1-0 victory. The victory in Latvia on Saturday ended a run of two losses in this group. The home loss to Turkey was the first home Euro qualifier they have lost since first playing them in 1994.
Armenia are in fourth position and their wait to qualify for a major finals will continue. Only eight points have been earned in this group putting them five points behind Croatia. A win for them in this game and a Welsh loss to Turkey would see them finish in third. However, their Nations League form won't save them and they are already eliminated. Away form has seen them win in Wales, lose to Latvia (how costly that was) and draw in Turkey. Croatia can win this game and lead at half and full time to ensure automatic qualification.