The season has reached a critical stage for Bournemouth who find themselves contesting relegation alongside Aston villa and Norwich City. With just seven games left to play, they must gain as many points as possible to stay afloat, and their fight for survival continues as they host 14th placed Newcastle this mid-week. After the weekend games, Bournemouth remain in the bottom three on goal difference. A point from this game will take them above West Ham who don't play until after this match. The Cherries resumed their campaign with two back to back defeats: a 2-0 loss at home to Crystal Palace followed by a 1-0 beating by Wolves. This set of performances extended their losing streak to three games and they have gone six league games without a victory. The defeat by Palace is the only one they have lost in thier last four home league games. But only four home league games have been won this season. Considering they have lost ten of their last 11 away league matches and still have to travel to both Manchester clubs, every home point is vital for them.
Meanwhile, visitors Newcastle have the European positions within sight but they realistically appear poised for a mid-table finish. They may be 14th in the league but that's only five points behind seventh and that could be enough to get into the Europa League. The Magpies were outstanding as they beat top ten side Sheffield United 3-0 in their first game after a three-month break but they faltered in their next game as they lost a one-goal advantage to draw 1-1 with Aston Villa within the last seven minutes of the match. Newcastle won at Southampton in March but that ended a run of six away league matches without a win. Nine away league games have been lost this season with only 13 goals scored. Sunday saw them lose 2-0 at home to Manchester City in the FA Cup quarter final and it could have been a lot more. They won the reverse fixture against Bournemouth 2-1 making it two wins and two draws against Bournemouth in the last four played against them. Their away record against Bournemouth has seen them unbeaten in four matches, again with two wins and two draws.
While it may be tempting to back a Newcastle victory, the team can unexpectedly get erratic when they have an advantage and concede easy goals like they did against Aston Villa. Still, they are up against a struggling opponent, who are also not doing well at home and this gives us the confidence that in the event that the Magpies don't win this match, it will end with a draw. Go for a double chance bet on the away side.