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Bosnia & Herzegovina v Montenegro Betting Tips [23 September 2022]

Football - UEFA Nations League

23 September 2022 14:45

45' :  1 - 0
Draw or Montenegro Match Winner
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The match

Bosnia & Herzegovina battle it out for control of the group when they host Montenegro at the Bilino Polje Stadium in Zenica for this UEFA Nations League Group 3B fixture. The Bosnians currently hold a slim lead with their 2-2-0 record giving them eight points and a one point lead over second-place Montenegro who have a record of 2-1-1. With only one point separating the two and only two matches left in the group stages to decide who is promoted to League A for next season's Nations League, we can expect a tense, tight match in this one. Bosnia & Herzegovina is coming off an excellent 3-2 home win over Finland in their last outing while Montenegro is coming off a superb 3-0 away win against Romania in their last fixture. These two nations played out a 1-1 draw in June.  

Montenegro has shown this tournament that they have no problem playing on the counter-attack and can be a dangerous team on the break. The Brave Falcons have lost the possession battle in all four of their group stage matches but that hasn’t hindered them from creating goal scoring chances. Two superb counter-attacking displays in their home and away fixtures against Romania highlighted their philosophy, as they were able to score a total of five goals on four clear-cut chances despite averaging just 42% of the ball. We’re likely to see a very similar type of match to the first encounter between these two teams, which saw Bosnia dominate the possession with 61% but the teams equal in the number of scoring chances and shots.

Key Statistics

  • The three meetings between these two teams have all finished in draws. The most recent a 1-1 in June of 2022, preceded by a 0-0 draw in June of 2021.
  • Montenegro has been slightly the better defensive team in recent months, keeping three clean sheets over their past five matches while Bosnia & Herzegovina has kept two.
  • Montenegro has been punching above their weight in recent matches as the 67th FIFA ranked team is 3-1-1 over the last five fixtures, all against higher-ranked opposition.

The bet of our experts

We’re going to back Montenegro on the double chance as our bet for this match. The odds for a home win are simply too low for what we’ve seen from these two teams so far and the performance that they each put out in their first meeting. Bosnia & Herzegovina like to control the ball but are coming up against a team that has proven their worth when playing on the break. This isn’t the best matchup for the hosts so look for the visiting Montenegro to be able to walk away with at least a point in this one. Additionally, with bottom-place Romania coming up next for the Bosnians, they would probably be fine with a draw here.
Created on 21/09/2022 at 18:09
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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