Borussia Dortmund have the chance to win their first league title in 11 years when they host Mainz on Saturday. Two points clear at the top, Dortmund only need to win, while ninth placed Mainz, will hope to hop a place up. The hosts have been on a good run coming into this game; they thrashed Augsburg 3-0 in the last game. That was their third straight win, and they haven't lost in seven. In the win over Augsburg, Dortmund took advantage of Bayern Munich’s earlier defeat to Mainz. While defence hasn’t been their major strength, they’ve done well in their recent matches. Dortmund take to this game three clean sheets in the last five matches. A run of 11 straight wins at home places Dortmund in the right picture coming into this game. They’ve scored at least two goals in each of their last seven home matches.
Mainz come into this game without much to play for, and their recent matches have reflected as much. They are on four straight defeats, the most recent a 4-1 fall at home to Stuttgart. That was also the fourth straight game in which they conceded three or more goals. They have failed to score in two of the four matches while all their last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals. Mainz have recently claimed important wins in the Bundesliga, beating Leipzig and Bayern Munich. They’ve shaped the top four race in a big way, and here, will hope to have another take on the title race. It isn’t like a win will mean much, but they’d want to rise one place up, to eighth. Mainz will however hope this away game comes with better tidings. They’ve lost their last two away matches, without scoring, and conceding three in each. Of their last five away matches, Mainz have one win.
Borussia Dortmund are a win away from winning the Bundesliga title. Playing at home, the chances they will miss this are really slim. They face a side coming from four straight losses and also having failed to score in two straight away matches. Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund v Mainz is for Dortmund to win without conceding.