Avai v Palmeiras Betting Tips [26 June 2022]
Football - Brasileirão Serie A
26 June 2022 15:00
The match
League leaders Palmeiras will be looking for a strong response after being bounced from the Brazilian Cup 1-0 against Sao Paulo in midweek. They face a packed fixture list which sees them hitting the road again to take on 11th place Avai at the Ressacada Stadium for matchday 14 of the Brasileirão Série A. Palmeiras are having an excellent season, with their 8-4-1 league record giving them a three point lead over second place Corinthians and an upcoming fixture against Cerro Porteno in the Copa Libertadores knockout stages on deck. The loss against Sao Paulo in the last outing snapped a 19 match unbeaten run in all competitions going back to the middle of April. Their opponents come into this match off the back of a 2-0 away loss to Fluminense which moves their season record to 5-2-6. Avai has looked a completely different team when playing on home soil this season and will be looking to improve upon their 4-1-1 record at the Ressacada.
This is a pretty terrible spot for Palmeiras situationally. O Verdão have a number of factors working against them that should give the hosts a lot of confidence that they can get a result here, despite the visitors 4-2-0 away record on the season. Avai will enjoy a significant rest advantage here, with the entire week to prep for this match while Palmeiras are coming in on short rest with only two full days to recover. Additionally, this is the visitors third straight away match and fourth match in the last 10 days. After playing a strong lineup against Sao Paulo in the midweek cup match, manager Abel Ferreira will have to consider some rotation to his squad in this match as the first leg of the all important Copa Libertadores knockout stage comes just three days after this one. All of these factors combined with Avai’s formidable home form means that the hosts should be able to at least keep this a competitive match.Key Statistics
- Avai has found the back of the net in all six of their home matches.
- Both teams have scored in seven of Avai’s last nine matches.
- Avai has picked up some solid results over strong teams at home this season, beating defending champions Atletico Mineiro 1-0 and drawing 1-1 with Sao Paulo.
The bet of our experts
We’re going to back Avai on the +1 Asian Handicap as our bet for this match. This means that a one goal margin of defeat for the hosts would result in a push and our stake being returned. Palmeiras are, of course, a juggernaut on this continent but we can’t ignore the number of disadvantages they find themselves facing ahead of this one. This is a very dangerous spot for them as Avai have proven themselves capable of putting in strong performances against quality sides when playing on home soil. The travel and fatigue might catch up to the visitors here and they could fall victim to overlooking their opponents in anticipation of the Libertadores clash in midweek.
